Harris maintains election odds lead over Trump as Democratic convention opens
Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris maintains her narrow lead over Republican nominee former President Donald Trump as the betting favorite to win the White House.
The action, which U.S. bookmakers cannot take part in legally, moved definitively toward the vice president during the Harris-Walz ticket's honeymoon but has remained steady ahead of the Democratic National Convention, which opens Monday.
The two major candidates remain where they stood last week at bookmaker Bet365. The betting house had Harris in the lead at -125 with Trump at even money, as of late Sunday.
The convention could serve as a last fling in the Democratic honeymoon and give Harris a final jolt of separation before what looks to be a bruising stretch run for the campaign.
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Presidential election odds timeline
Presidential election odds as of August 11
Bet 365
- Kamala Harris: -125
- Donald Trump: EVEN
Bovada
- Kamala Harris: -115
- Donald Trump: -105
BetOnline
- Kamala Harris: -120
- Donald Trump: EVEN
Oddschecker
- Kamala Harris: -106
- Donald Trump: +116
How accurate have election odds been in past presidential elections?
The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.
The two upsets came in 1948, when Harry Truman (D) beat eight-to-one odds to defeat Thomas Dewey (R), and in 2016, when Trump overcame seven-to-two odds to beat Hillary Clinton.
Biden was the betting favorite in the 2020 race, holding the pole position with Oddscheker from May through November.