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Poll finds Trump margin shrinking in Michigan

Donovan Slack   | Paste BN

Donald Trump’s lead among likely Republican primary voters in Michigan shrank from 17 percentage points to only six in recent days, according to a new Monmouth University poll.

On Thursday and Friday, this is how respondents rated the field:

  • Trump: 39%
  • Ted Cruz: 22%
  • John Kasich: 17%
  • Marco Rubio: 14%

But in polling on Saturday and Sunday, the race had changed considerably:

  • Trump:  32%
  • Kasich: 26%
  • Cruz: 25%
  • Rubio: 12%

“Trump appears positioned for a win in Michigan, but the race may be tightening in the final hours,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth poll. “Trump’s support may be dropping while Kasich’s star could be rising.”

The overall results for all four days still show Trump in first with 36% and Cruz in second with 23%, with a 4.9% margin of error. Monmouth did not break out the margin of error for the separate days.

Kasich, the Ohio governor is still in third place in the polling average, according to RealClearPolitics. But he has been picking up steam in recent weeks. In one ARG poll taken Friday and Saturday, he actually pulled ahead of Trump 33%-31%.

Michigan is the biggest prize Tuesday. It will have 59 Republican delegates up for grabs. Idaho will have 32 and Mississippi will have 40. Hawaii will have 19 at stake in its caucuses.

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