For the Record: Clinton's bumpy week is now America's Trumpy week
Hillary Clinton returns to the campaign trail today with a rally in Greensboro, North Carolina, ending the "Garfield Minus Garfield, Political Edition" portion of the presidential campaign. While she was sidelined, her polling numbers have gone down and the prediction markets are shifting in Trump's favor. What's her next move? If a lengthy Twitter barrage is any indication, we're going to hear a lot about the Trump Foundation and its ties to multinational financiers and foreign politicians. Or, you know, something related to taco trucks. Either one.
Clinton's bumpy week has turned into America's Trumpy week
Hillary Clinton's off-week — first the "basket of deplorables" comment and then her pneumonia — has now translated into polling data, and it's looking decidedly Trumpier now. Donald Trump had the lead in a trio of battleground state polls yesterday, giving him a five-point lead in Ohio and smaller leads in Florida and Nevada. Nationally, Clinton still retains the lead, but her 10-point lead has been cut in half in the latest Quinnipiac poll. It's been a few weeks since we checked in on the election prediction markets ... let's see how things have changed:
- hypermind: 58% Democratic victory (down 7%)
- FiveThirtyEight's polls-plus forecast: 62.7% Clinton victory (down 13.7%)
- PredictIt: 63% Clinton victory (down 7%)
- Election Betting Odds: 63.1% Clinton victory (down 12.4%)
- FiveThirtyEight's now-cast: 63.6% Clinton victory (down 28.1%)
- FiveThirtyEight's polls-only forecast: 64.2%% Clinton victory (down 19.2%)
- PredictWise: 72% Democratic victory (down 4%)
- TheUpshot's elections model: 78% Clinton victory (down 5%)
Odds are still better than a coin flip for Team Clinton across the board, but things are going in the wrong direction for her right now.
Critics: Politicians are too pro-business. Harvard Business School: Well, actually ...
Contrary to popular belief, the actions of American politicians aren't intended to be just a giant soap opera for the rest of the planet. It turns out they should actually be doing things to help the country out. Harvard Business School says they aren't, and that our political system is now our greatest weakness. Make America great again, indeed.
“We believe that the nation’s political system has now become America’s greatest competitive weakness, and that the situation continues to deteriorate,” Harvard professors Michael Porter, Jan Rivkin and Mihir Desai wrote in a report titled “Problems Unsolved and a Nation Divided.” It's difficult to lay all seven years of responsibility at the feet of Clinton and Trump, but the report says they're not helping things, either. The pair often “propose small, partial steps on some policy areas, or espouse simple, almost-cartoonish slogans without a real plan of action.”
Harvard professors have their own idea about what will restore the nation's global economic leadership (some of which appears in the candidates' platforms, like improving infrastructure, while other ideas, like lowering trade barriers, are of interest to neither).
More from the campaign trail
- Today on TV, reality TV doctor assesses health of reality TV politician (Paste BN)
- Trump in Detroit interview: "I’ll bring the inner cities back ... the potential isn’t being recognized" (Detroit Free Press)
- Clinton campaign conducting voter registration drive Friday at eight Detroit taco trucks. Mmm ... votandolicioso (Detroit Free Press)
- After nearly a century of endorsing nothing but Republicans, New Hampshire paper mixes things up by endorsing a former Republican (Paste BN OnPolitics)
- Powell: Clinton "a friend I respect" but I'd rather not vote for her because of her greed and unbridled ambition. But they're still friends, right? (Paste BN OnPolitics)
- Chairman of congressional Homeland Security committee: 'The RNC was hacked, too." One hour later: "ha ha j/k" (Paste BN OnPolitics)
This explains it — 'John Barron' is just Super Trump's secret identity
A 55-foot-tall digital Super Trump billboard made its debut in New York's Times Square this week, courtesy of Roger Stone's super PAC.