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Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul predictions: Boxing experts, legends give fight picks


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The wait for Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul is almost over, and the fight seems to have captured the attention of more than just the boxing world thanks to the popularity of both the headliners involved and the genuine curiosity of what this spectacle might look like Friday night at AT&T Stadium.

Tyson, 58, was last in the ring for a 2020 exhibition match against Roy Jones Jr. His last professional fight occurred in 2005. His last professional win was in 2002. The original date of this fight against Paul already had to be postponed due to Tyson's health issues.

Paul, 27, turned his YouTube stardom into a lucrative boxing career in recent years and his company is producing this event, which will be streamed exclusively on Netflix. This will be just his 12th career fight (10-1 record) and his first in the heavyweight division.

So using past results to pick a winner is trickier than usual when Tyson and Paul finally step in the ring Friday. The intrigue has led many boxing legends to weigh in now that fight week is here, including a few of Tyson's opponents from the past.

Here are some of the latest picks and predictions ahead of Tyson vs. Paul on Friday, November 15, as well as current odds and how to watch this made-for-streaming event:

Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul predictions

Bob Arum, Top Rank CEO: Paul wins

"A 58-year-old guy, no matter how good they were, no matter how athletic they were, are not gonna be able to fight,” Arum said in an interview with Johnny Boy Boxing last month. “You can’t throw punches like you’re supposed to, you can’t do a lot of things. I hope Mike doesn’t get hurt, but I really give him relatively no chance. You lose that muscle memory as you get older."

Lennox Lewis: Tyson wins

“Mike Tyson’s gonna win. He’s not that old. Don’t take him too softly. We’re one year apart," Lewis told FOX 29 in Philadelphia during an interview last April. "You can fight somebody like that and do well, because the person you’re fighting is not a true fighter and there’s a hundred things that you’ve forgotten that he’s learning."

Roy Jones Jr.: Tyson has the edge

"It’s a young lion and an old lion. It’s a great situation for them," Jones said in an interview with FightHype in September. "It gives Jake a chance with Mike being as old as he is. I think it’s a great opportunity for both fighters but I still think Mike is gonna be a little bit too much for Jake."

Anthony Joshua: Jake Paul's youth too much

"The only thing I'm worried about is Father Time. That's the only thing that's never been beat and Tyson, he's older now. But I pray he comes out healthy. I think Jake Paul because of youth. That's the only thing -- because of the youth."

Buster Douglas: Easiest win of Tyson's career

"It’s not going to be good for Jake," Douglas said in an interview with Gambling Zone in June. "I don’t think there will be much of a boxing career left for Paul afterwards. I think once Mike gets rid of him, that’s it for his boxing career. The best scenario for Paul is to just last the entire fight, say he went the distance with Mike Tyson."

Tyson Fury: Have to back Mike Tyson

"If Mike Tyson hits anybody, I don’t care if he’s 90, he’s gonna knock them out cold, isn’t he?"

Sports Betting Dime: Paul by decision

"If this goes into the later rounds, Paul’s combination of youth and cardio will be the difference. Look for Paul to utilize his jab and footwork to keep Tyson on the outside. The heavier 14-oz gloves and two-minute rounds will also likely work against Iron Mike, potentially sapping his explosiveness in the second half of the fight."

Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul fight odds

As of Tuesday, Nov. 12, BetMGM set the following odds for the fight between Mike Tyson and Jake Paul:

  • Paul win: -210
  • Tyson win: +170

Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps offering sports betting promo.

How to watch Tyson vs. Paul: Time, date and streaming

  • Date: Friday, November 15
  • Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
  • Time: 5:30 p.m. ET (preliminary card); 8 p.m. ET (main card)
  • TV: Not available
  • Streaming: Netflix

Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul: Full card, latest updates

The Tyson vs. Paul fight was initially announced last March and scheduled for July 20. Tyson's health issues forced the event to be postponed until Nov. 15.

Most Valuable Promotions has progressively announced six other matches for the fight card, beginning last April with the announcement that Taylor and Serrano would serve as the co-main event. Their first bout in April 2022, which Taylor won by split decision, was the first women's boxing match to headline an event at Madison Square Garden.

Here's what the full card looks like as of Tuesday, November 12:

  • HeavyweightMike Tyson vs. Jake Paul
  • Super LightweightKatie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano for Taylor's IBF, WBA, WBC and WBO women's super-lightweight titles
  • WelterweightMario Barrios vs. Abel Ramos for Barrios' WBC welterweight title
  • Super MiddleweightNeeraj Goyat vs. Whindersson Nunes
  • Super Middleweight: Shadasia Green vs Melinda Watpool for vacant women’s WBO super middleweight title
  • Super Lightweight: Lucas Bahdi vs. Armando Casamonica
  • Featherweight: Bruce Carrington vs. Dana Coolwell

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