Alabama State vs Saint Francis picks, predictions, odds: Who wins NCAA March Madness game?

No. 16 seed Alabama State and No. 16 seed St. Francis play Tuesday, March 18 in a March Madness NCAA Tournament First Four game at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio.
The South Region game is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. MST and can be seen on truTV (stream with Sling TV).
Who will win the March Madness game and advance to the first round in the NCAA bracket?
Check out these NCAA Tournament first-round picks and predictions for the men's college basketball matchup.
Alabama State is a 3.5-point favorite over Saint Francis in the game in March Madness odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. The Hornets are -175 on the moneyline. The Red Flash are +145. The over/under for the game is set at 140.5 points.
March Madness First Four picks: Alabama State vs Saint Francis | North Carolina vs San Diego State | Mount St. Mary's vs American | Xavier vs Texas | The Republic's predictions
Thursday March Madness first round picks: Louisville vs Creighton | Purdue vs High Point | Wisconsin vs Montana | Houston vs SIUE | Clemson vs McNeese | BYU vs VCU | Gonzaga vs Georgia | Tennessee vs Wofford | Kansas vs Arkansas | Texas A&M vs Yale | Missouri vs Drake | UCLA vs Utah State | St. John's vs Omaha | Michigan vs UCSD | Texas Tech vs UNCW | The Republic's predictions
Friday March Madness first round picks: Mississippi State vs Baylor | Alabama vs Robert Morris | Iowa State vs Lipscomb | Memphis vs Colorado State | Saint Mary's vs Vanderbilt | Maryland vs Grand Canyon | Florida vs Norfolk State | Kentucky vs Troy | Marquette vs New Mexico | Arizona vs Akron | UConn vs Oklahoma | Michigan State vs Bryant | Oregon vs Liberty | The Republic's predictions
Watch Alabama State vs Saint Francis on Sling TV
The Arizona Republic: Alabama State 71, St. Francis 69
Jeremy Cluff writes: "Alabama State was just 19-15 in the regular season, but it got hot at the right time, winning six straight games and the SWAC Tournament. SFU also is on a six-game win streak and is 16-17 overall. This could be a very intriguing first game of the tournament."
Dimers: Alabama State 72, Saint Francis 69
It writes: "After extensive simulations, our model gives St. Francis (PA) a win probability of 36%, while Alabama State has a win probability of 64%."
Sports Illustrated: Bet Alabama State to cover vs St. Francis
Reed Wallach writes: "While Alabama State’s shooting leaves some to be desired, Saint Francis will struggle to handle the ball against the pressure the Hornets deploy, ranking inside the top 100 in turnover percentage. In what will likely be an inefficient shooting matchup, I’m going to count on who dictates possession, and that's Alabama State."
Fox Sports: Alabama State 73, Saint Francis 70
It writes: "Alabama State is 15-17-0 ATS this season. Saint Francis (PA) is 17-13-0 ATS this year. Alabama State has an ATS record of 5-9 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season. Saint Francis (PA) has an ATS record of 10-9 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season."
ESPN: Alabama State has a 58.4% chance to beat St. Francis
The site gives the Red Flash a 41.6% shot at defeating the Hornets in Tuesday's First Four March Madness NCAA Tournament game.
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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