Charles Schwab Challenge favorites and biggest sleepers heading into golf tournament
A week after the PGA Championship, world No. 1 golfer Scottie Scheffler is looking for back-to-back wins at the Charles Schwab Challenge. Scheffler, a Texas native, will have home-field advantage, playing at the coveted Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth. Thusly, it's no surprise that he is the favorite heading into the weekend.
We're not looking at the favorites though. We're looking at the golfers a little further down on draft boards, golfers that most people are not considering. While you can never go wrong betting on the people at the top, the real money can be made by finding that diamond in the rough, that longshot that everyone else is overlooking.
As a reminder, this isn't saying you should go out and risk your child's college fund on someone at +100000, but these golfers could provide value at smaller amounts if the cards fall right this weekend. Here is a list of the favorites for the Charles Schwab Challenge, plus some sleepers to consider. All odds via BetMGM.
Favorites at 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge
- Scottie Scheffler (+225)
- Daniel Berger (+2200)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)
- Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)
- Jordan Spieth (+2500)
- Aaron Rai (+3000)
- Harris English (+3300)
- J.T. Poston (+3300)
- Maverick McNealy (+3300)
- Si Woo Kim (+4000)
Sleepers for the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge
- Brian Harman (+4500)
Harman has played exceptionally well ever since his victory at the Valero Texas Open in April. He's gained strokes across the board and has played this course 12 times over his career, recording three top-10 finishes. His excellent putter should also serve him well on this course. At +4500, leaving him outside the top-10 in odds, Harman is almost assuredly going to outperform.
- Emiliano Grillo (+9000)
Grillo won this event back in 2023 and scored top-10 finishes in both 2018 and 2021. While his results at this tournament otherwise have been a rollercoaster, to say the least, Grillo at least offers something that most other longshots do not: a proven track record.
- Ben Griffin (+5000)
Griffin was a name that a lot of people missed during the PGA Championship, but he wound end up tied for eighth in that tournament. He's playing fairly well as of late, especially on approach where he gained 3.5 strokes at Quail Hollow in last weekend's major. Approach is a key part of the Charles Schwab Challenge due to the course being on the shorter end. Griffin could be in for a massive weekend if his play at that level seeps into this Texas.