Skip to main content

Thunder vs. Pacers: Predictions, picks, odds for 2025 NBA Finals

Tyrese Haliburton's injury looms large over Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers.

Mark Giannotto   Paste BN
play
Show Caption

This is it for the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers.

Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals is here and Thursday is the first chance for a team to close out the series. The Thunder sit one win away from their first NBA championship and the Pacers are in a must-win situation at home hoping their injured star can play. They've reached a pivotal moment in a compelling matchup.

The status of Indiana's Tyrese Haliburton adds to the drama of what will either serve as a coronation for the Thunder or the extension of these entertaining Finals between two of the league's small-market teams. Pacers coach Rick Carlisle said Haliburton, who played through a strained calf he suffered in Game 5, will be a game-time decision.

The Thunder are now considered a heavy favorite to beat the Pacers after grabbing control of the 2025 NBA Finals with two-straight wins, including a comeback in Game 4 when it appeared Indiana was on the brink of taking a 3-1 series lead. Instead, it's Oklahoma City that now leads the series, 3-2, after Jalen Williams exploded for 40 points and NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was as effective as ever (31 points, 10 assists) in Game 5. Do the Pacers have another response with a hobbled Haliburton?

Here's a look at the latest predictions, picks and odds ahead of Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers, as well as how to watch on Thursday, June 19:

NBA DRAFT 2025: AI predictions roundup for every first round pick

NBA Finals picks: Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6 predictions

The Oklahoman: Thunder 115, Pacers 107

"Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams are playing elite basketball right now, and OKC's defense continues to look like the best in the league. Indiana will surely put up a fight at home, but it'll struggle to keep up if Tyrese Haliburton is hindered by his calf injury."

Sports Illustrated: Thunder win NBA Finals in Game 6

"Indiana’s offense is predicated on getting out in transition and Haliburton zipping the ball around, but if he can’t get into the pain – or isn’t confident in his movement – the Pacers are going to stagnate like they did at times in Game 5. ... All season long, the Thunder have been the best team in the NBA, and I think tonight will be a coronation of their all-time season."

NorthJersey.com: Thunder cover spread

"Haliburton will try to play through this injury but ultimately it will limit or force him to leave the game early, therefore the Thunder will advantage of that absence to control the game against Indiana without its most dynamic playmaker and cover the spread on the road."

Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 6 odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder are the favorites to beat the Indiana Pacers in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals and win their first NBA title, according to BetMGM (odds as of 10:15 a.m. ET on Thursday, June 19):

  • Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
  • Moneyline: Thunder (-235); Pacers (+195)
  • Over/under: 221.5

Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals series odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 6 as the heavy favorite to win the 2025 NBA Finals over the Indiana Pacers, according to BetMGM (odds as of 10:15 a.m. ET on Thursday, June 19).

  • Series winner: Thunder (-3000); Pacers (+1250)

Watch the NBA Finals with Fubo

NBA Finals 2025: Schedule, time, TV channel, live streaming

All times Eastern. *-if necessary

(Thunder lead series 3-2)

Facebook Twitter Email