Kentucky vs Troy prediction, picks for men's 2025 NCAA Tournament
It's Kentucky vs Troy in the 2025 NCAA Tournament first round. See our expert picks and predictions for the March Madness bracket, along with where to watch and game time.

Editor's note: Follow Men's March Madness live updates and scores from Friday's first-round action.
The 2025 NCAA men's Tournament is here, folks. First-round action continues on Friday with a matchup between Kentucky and Troy in the Midwest Region.
The Kentucky Wildcats finished the 2024-25 season with a 22-11 record, good for sixth in the SEC. That earned them a No. 3 seed in the 2025 March Madness bracket. Their opponent, the Troy Trojans, finished third in the Sun Belt with a 23-10 record and a conference tournament win earned them a No. 14 seed in the Big Dance.
Kentucky ranks as the 16th-best team in the KenPom rankings, sporting the eighth-best offense and 57th-best defense. Meanwhile, Troy ranks 98th overall with the 153rd-ranked offense and 71st-ranked defense.
Here's how our experts see Friday's Round of 64 clash playing out. Be sure to check out Paste BN's complete March Madness bracket predictions to see our team's picks for every game. While you're at it, don't forget to read our tournament bold predictions and upset picks.
Kentucky vs. Troy picks and predictions
- Jordan Mendoza: Kentucky
- Paul Myerberg: Kentucky
- Erick Smith: Kentucky
- Eddie Timanus: Kentucky
- Dan Wolken: Kentucky
- Craig Meyer: Kentucky 83, Troy 74
- Ryan Black: Kentucky 84, Troy 63
It's a clean sweep. None of our experts have this contest turning into an upset. Craig Meyer is backing Troy to cover the 11.5-point spread while the Louisville Courier Journal's Ryan Black is picking Kentucky to win in blowout fashion. Meyer has the game going over the 152.5-point total. Black has it under.
Kentucky vs. Troy date, start time, where to watch
- Game Day: Friday, March 21, 2025
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee
- TV Channel: CBS
- Live Stream: Fubo - Watch Now!
Watch Kentucky vs. Troy on Fubo
Kentucky vs. Troy odds
Odds as of Thursday, March 20 via BetMGM.
- Spread: Kentucky -11.5 (-110)
- Moneyline Favorite: Kentucky -750
- Moneyline Underdog: Troy +525
- Total: 152.5
March Madness game-by-game predictions for Friday
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- Mt. St. Mary's vs. Duke predictions, picks
- Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary's CA predictions, picks
- UNC vs. Ole Miss predictions, picks
- Grand Canyon vs. Maryland predictions, picks
- Norfolk State vs. Florida predictions, picks
- Troy vs. Kentucky predictions, picks
- New Mexico vs. Marquette predictions, picks
- Akron vs. Arizona predictions, picks
- Oklahoma vs. UConn predictions, picks
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