The bowl eligibility picture with two weeks left in season
The picture for teams chasing bowl eligibility got a little clearer this weekend.
Notre Dame, UCLA, California and Texas Tech are out for now. Kansas State, South Carolina and Kentucky are in. Several others remain on the fence with two weeks left in the season.
The 40 bowl games require 80 teams to reach the threshold of six wins. Currently, there are just 65 teams at the magic number. One of those is Army, which has two victories against FCS opponents. According to the NCAA rule on bowl selection order, the Black Knights will be placed ahead of teams with losing records even if it doesn't beat Navy on Dec. 10.
There are 44 teams with seven losses unable to reach six wins. Hawaii is 5-7 and can reach six wins Saturday with a victory against Massachusetts. The would follow Army in the selection order as determined by the NCAA.
That leaves 18 teams having an opportunity to win their way into the postseason before 5-7 teams are become eligible. Their records and remaining schedule:
Akron (5-6) - at Ohio
Arizona State (5-6) - at Arizona
Boston College (5-6) - at Wake Forest
Indiana (5-6) - vs. Purdue
Louisiana-Lafayette (4-6) - vs. Arkansas State, at Louisiana-Monroe
Northwestern (5-6) - vs. Illinois
Maryland (5-6) - vs. Rutgers
Miami (Ohio) (5-6) - vs. Ball State
Mississippi (5-6) - vs. Mississippi State
North Carolina State (5-6) - at North Carolina
North Texas (5-6) - at Texas-El Paso
South Alabama (5-5) - at Idaho, vs. New Mexico State
SMU (5-6) - vs. Navy
Southern Mississippi (5-6) - vs. Louisiana Tech
TCU (5-5) - at Texas, vs. Kansas State
Texas (5-6) - vs. TCU
Texas-San Antonio (5-6) - vs. Charlotte
Vanderbilt (5-6) - at Tennessee
With 14 or 15 spots available, it's an almost certainty several 5-7 teams will be needed to fill out bowl slots. Those candidates are selected by classroom APR.
Here are the top teams by APR in contention to finish with five wins and get their way into the postseason.
Duke - 995
Northwestern - 992
Vanderbilt - 990
North Texas - 984
Boston College - 981
Indiana - 979
Maryland - 977
Notre Dame - 975
Syracuse - 973
UCLA - 972
Texas - 971
Mississippi State - 971
As you can see, it will be an interesting last couple weeks to see how the situation sorts itself out.
Follow Erick Smith on Twitter at @erick_smith.
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