Penn State vs. Oregon: Predictions and odds for Big Ten Championship
The top-ranked Oregon Ducks will face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions in the Big Ten Championship, creating an exciting matchup that could significantly impact the final College Football Playoff rankings.
Led by Heisman hopeful Dillion Gabriel, the Ducks are riding high on a perfect 12-0 record and have remained as the top seed for five consecutive weeks in the College Football Playoff rankings. The Nittany Lions, on the other hand, entered the championship game after a loss to Ohio State mid-season. But Penn State didn't let that defeat define them and quickly resolved their issues to finish with a nearly perfect record at 11-1.
The Big Ten championship is not just another game, it's a battle where plenty is on the line and the stakes are high. The winner will not only claim one of the top four bids but also receive a first-round bye. This means they will automatically advance to the quarterfinal round of the College Football Playoff bracket, skipping the first-round gauntlet that the other seeds will have to play.
Here is how to watch the Big Ten championship game between Oregon and Penn State.
Big Ten Championship: Penn State vs. Oregon predictions
ESPN: Penn State has a 53% chance to win
According to ESPN's Matchup Predictor, the Penn State Nittany Lions have a 53.8% chance to beat the Oregon Ducks in the Big Ten Championship.
BetMGM: Oregon Ducks will win
Staff writes: "The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results. This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends."
Bleacher Report: Penn State 20, Oregon 17
Staff writes: "The two teams are incredibly similar and it may take one big play from either offense to capture the Big Ten title. Penn State has that dynamic playmaker in Tyler Warren, the nation's top tight end, and he could be the difference-maker in a tight game. Neither team's playoff status is at risk, so both programs should play with little hesitation and give us potentially the best game of championship weekend."
College Football Network: Oregon 27, Penn State 17
Colin Lynch writes: "Both teams stand on the cusp of the College Football Playoff. For Penn State, it’s a chance to prove they belong. For Oregon, it’s about cementing themselves as the nation’s best.Franklin’s history in big games leaves questions unanswered, while Dan Lanning’s record in close battles speaks for itself. On the stage in Indianapolis, under the brightest lights, Oregon rises."
NBC Sports: Penn State
Eric Froton writes: "Wisconsin just took Oregon to the limit in a 16-13 nailbiter, while Penn State escaped with a one-point victory over Minnesota two weeks ago. With these two teams pretty closely matched in my opinion, and PSU very much in play on a neutral site field, I think the value is on Penn State on the moneyline for a tidy +150 return.”
Big Ten Championship: Penn State vs. Oregon odds, lines
The Oregon Ducks are favorites to defeat the Penn State Nittany Lions, according to the BetMGM college football odds.
Odds as of Wednesday, Dec. 3 afternoon.
- Spread: Oregon (-3)
- Moneylines: Oregon (-185); Penn State (+155)
- Over/under: 49.5
How to watch Big Ten Championship: Penn State vs. Oregon
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 7
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Stream: Paramount+
- Where: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)
Catch College Football championship games with a Fubo subscription
We occasionally recommend interesting products and services. If you make a purchase by clicking one of the links, we may earn an affiliate fee. Paste BN Network newsrooms operate independently, and this doesn’t influence our coverage.