Baylor vs. LSU: Predictions, odds and how to watch Texas Bowl

The New Year's Eve bowl action continues with the Kinder's Texas Bowl as the Baylor Bears face off against the LSU Tigers at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.
The Bears faced formidable challenges in the first half of the season, but their resilience shone through as they overcame these hurdles. The Bears finished the season with an impressive six-game winning streak, culminating in an 8-4 record. The offense, spearheaded by Sawyer Robertson, was a force to be reckoned with. Robertson's 62.8% completion rate, 2,626 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and seven interceptions are a testament to his skill. His 227 rushing yards and four touchdowns further solidified his contribution to Baylor's success.
The Tigers are heading to Houston with more than just a chip on their shoulder; they carry a burning determination to prove themselves. Despite finishing the season with an 8-4 record, a three-game losing streak prevented them from securing a spot in the College Football Playoff. The offense, led by standout junior quarterback Garrett Nussmeier, has been a key asset for LSU. Nussmeier completed the regular season with a 63.7% completion rate, throwing for 3,739 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. His ability to perform in crucial moments—highlighted by winning the MVP award in LSU's ReliaQuest Bowl victory over Wisconsin last season—demonstrates his leadership and talent.
Here is everything to know about the Texas Bowl matchup between Baylor and LSU.
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Texas Bowl predictions: Baylor vs. LSU
Paste BN: LSU is unanimous pick
- Scooby Axson: LSU
- Jordan Mendoza: LSU
- Paul Myerberg: LSU
- Erick Smith: LSU
- Eddie Timanus: LSU
- Dan Wolken: LSU
ESPN: Baylor 39, LSU 37
Adam Rittenberg writes: "Baylor coach Dave Aranda engineered one of the better in-season turnarounds, as the Bears overcame a 2-4 start to win their final six games. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson blossomed under first-year offensive coordinator Jake Spavital, passing for 2,626 yards and 26 touchdowns. LSU is also 8-4 but not feeling quite as excited, as a three-game losing streak prevented any chance of a CFP berth. Tigers coach Brian Kelly typically wins bowl games like this one, and did so to cap his first two LSU seasons. But I like Baylor and Aranda, who previously served as LSU's defensive coordinator, to win a high-scoring game."
BetMGM: LSU will win
Staff writes: "The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results."
Texas Bowl odds, lines: Baylor vs. LSU
The Baylor Bears are favorites to defeat the LSU Tigers, according to the BetMGM college football odds.
Odds as of Thursday, Dec. 19 afternoon.
- Spread: Baylor (-4)
- Moneylines: Baylor (-190); LSU (+160)
- Over/under: 60.5
How to watch Baylor vs. LSU in the Texas Bowl
- Date: Tuesday, Dec. 31
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Stream: Fubo
- Where: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)
Tickets to the Texas Bowl with StubHub
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