NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds: Where Bo Nix, Jayden Daniels rank in OROY race
The future is here... at least for the NFL teams that drafted some of the most talented rookies in the 2024 draft class.
Almost every game is over in Week 13, except for the "Monday Night Football" matchup between the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns. Through the first 13 weeks of the season, the Offensive Rookie of the Year race has narrowed to two – maybe three – real contenders.
Quarterback Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders and Bo Nix of the Broncos are the clear favorites through roughly two-thirds of the season. Recently, Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers has also made a case for himself.
With five weeks remaining in the 2024 NFL season, here's how the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds shape up:
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds: Week 13
These players are all in contention for this year's Offensive Rookie of the Year award during Week 13, according to BetMGM odds on Monday.
1. Jayden Daniels, QB, Washington Commanders (-250)
Daniels joined a team that was 4-13 last year with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft. Even after he signed his rookie contract, Washington was projected to win six or seven games all season in the first year of a Daniels-centered rebuild.
After their Week 13 win over the Tennessee Titans, the Commanders are 8-5 and in position to make the playoffs. That's in no small part thanks to the efforts of Daniels, who has a 69.6% completion rate, 2,819 passing yards and 15 passing touchdowns to six interceptions.
The dual-threat quarterback also has 590 rushing yards on 108 attempts – good for an average of 5.5 yards per carry – and six rushing touchdowns.
A lot went into the Commanders' turnaround, but Daniels' performance as a rookie is a massive part of why they're in a position to make the playoffs.
2. Bo Nix, QB, Denver Broncos (+200)
Nix is the one rookie quarterback whose stats and team influence can compete with Daniels' numbers and team success.
Like the Commanders, Nix's team was projected to finish the 2024 season with a losing record. Their preseason win total over/under sat at 5.5. Yet the Broncos, again like the Commanders, have already hit the over with their 7-5 record ahead of their Week 13 "Monday Night Football" game. Denver, like Washington, holds the No. 7 seed in its conference and would make the playoffs if the season ended after Week 13.
As far as the numbers go, Nix is about a half step behind Daniels with one fewer game played at the time of writing. He's got a 64.9% completion rate with 2,548 passing yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions.
Though the Oregon product isn't known quite as much for his running ability, it has also been a strength for him this year. He's rushed 64 times for 300 yards (4.7 yards per carry) and has four rushing touchdowns.
Nix and Daniels are alone in the top tier of rookie offensive performers this year, and the Broncos' quarterback has a chance to pull ahead with a strong performance on Monday night.
3. Brock Bowers, TE, Las Vegas Raiders (+1200)
Bowers is at the top of the second-highest tier among rookie performers and faces an uphill battle as a non-quarterback playing for a team among the NFL's worst.
The Raiders tight end's case for this year's OROY award is rooted in a level of production that has never been accomplished before. Bowers is on pace for 119 catches, 1,252 yards and six touchdowns in 17 games. If he reaches those marks, he'd set a single-season record for receptions by any tight end – rookie or no – and supplant former Raider Todd Christensen for the 10th-most single-season receiving yards by any tight end ever.
Bowers is a generational Travis Kelce- or Rob Gronkowski-level tight end. If he were playing in a year with poor quarterback play, he'd be a near-lock to win the OROY award.
4. Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears (+6600)
All things considered, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft has had a great season.
He's about to play for his third offensive coordinator and second head coach in the same season. In a sport where consistency is key for developing players, the Bears have provided nearly none for the man they hope is their franchise quarterback.
Yet, he has the second-most passing yards of any rookie quarterback this year, with his 2,612 yards just behind Daniels – and in one fewer game. He has a 61.6% completion rate, which isn't great, but he has 14 touchdowns to just five interceptions.
On the pace Williams is on, he'd have 3,700 passing yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions by the end of this year. That yardage total would be third all-time in a season in Bears franchise history. His 20 touchdowns would be tied for 12th-most in a single season in team history, and the seven interceptions would be the fewest thrown by any Bears quarterback to have a 20-touchdown season.
Williams has all the potential to be the franchise quarterback the Bears hope him to be, but he's playing for a 4-8 team and faces stiff competition from other rookie quarterbacks. As a result, his chances at OROY are slimmer.
T-5. Ladd McConkey, WR, Los Angeles Chargers; Bucky Irving, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10000)
McConkey and Irving have had great years, and even though they crack the top five in odds to win OROY, they are both long shots to win the award.
McConkey has 58 catches for 815 yards and four touchdowns this year. He's on pace for a 1,100-yard season as a rookie, and he has thrived with quarterback Justin Herbert throwing him the ball. McConkey should remain a central piece as the Chargers' offensive identity continues to grow and evolve under Jim Harbaugh.
Irving has been a revelation in a Buccaneers backfield that had struggled to run the ball in recent years. Through 12 games, he has 133 carries for 732 yards (5.5 yards per carry) and six rushing touchdowns. He's also caught 35 of his 37 targets for 285 receiving yards, putting him over the 1,000-yard mark in scrimmage yards. Irving has been a massive upgrade for the Tampa Bay rushing offense. If the Bucs make the playoffs, he'll be a big reason why.