SNF best bets: Top player props, anytime TD scorers for Seahawks vs. Packers
The Seattle Seahawks enter Week 15 in control of the NFC West. They can stay perched atop the division with a win over the Green Bay Packers on "Sunday Night Football."
The Seahawks are hosting the Packers in a matchup that could be a first-round playoff preview. Green Bay looks like a wild-card shoo-in with their 9-4 record and the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings ahead of them in the NFC North standings.
Seattle is less of a sure thing to make the postseason because of the muddled nature of the NFC West. That said, Mike Macdonald – the NFL's youngest coach – has navigated the team well in his first season replacing Pete Carroll. The Seahawks are a well-balanced team and appear poised to avoid the rebuild many thought they would endure during the post-Carroll era.
The Packers and Seahawks both tend to spread the ball around offensively, which could make this matchup difficult for bettors to predict. Even so, sports bettors have plenty of intriguing bets to consider in Week 15.
Here's a look at the best bets for "Sunday Night Football," including a few prop bets and the best anytime TD bet for the potential NFC playoff preview.
Sunday Night Football best bets
All odds are via BetMGM as of Sunday.
Josh Jacobs rushing + receiving yards OVER 89.5 (-120)
Backing Jacobs is appealing in this matchup. The Seahawks are better against the pass than the run, and they rank 21st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (126.5). Seattle has been better in that area over the last few games, but it's worth noting that they faced the Arizona Cardinals twice in that span, inflating the value of the Seahawks' run defense.
With that in mind, Jacobs should have a chance at a strong outing. He averages 18.4 rushing attempts per game since Green Bay only has the unproven duo of Chris Brooks and Emanuel Wilson behind him. Jacobs has averaged 4.4 yards on those carries and is facing a Seahawks defense that ranks 25th in the league in yards per carry allowed (4.7). If he can split the difference between those numbers or exceed Seattle's 4.7 mark, he could exceed this number even without a reception.
Why shouldn't we just bet Jacobs' rushing total? You can, but his receiving abilities give him a bit of a buffer if the Seahawks try to take away the Packers' downhill running game. Jacobs isn't the most consistent receiver – in his last four games, he has twice posted 54-plus receiving yards and twice posted a goose egg – but Seattle ranks 13th in both catches (59) and receiving yards (458) allowed to running backs this year. That should allow Jacobs to catch at least a couple of dump-offs to pad his stats and get near 100 total yards.
Jordan Love OVER 6.5 rushing yards (-110)
Love hasn't been as mobile as usual during the 2024 NFL season while dealing with knee and groin injuries. However, in recent weeks, he has shown more willingness to scramble, which should allow him to exceed this relatively low total.
The Green Bay quarterback has run for 10-plus yards four times this season. In three of those four contests, the Packers were playing a team that ranks in the top 12 in pressure rate for the campaign.
The Seahawks have generated pressure on 24.1% of dropbacks, which is good for 11th in the league. That should allow them to get after Love and force him to scramble a couple of times during the contest.
Zach Charbonnet anytime TD (-120)
The Packers have a top-10 run defense in 2024, but they are a bit of a feast-or-famine squad. In eight games, they have allowed at least 111 rushing yards. They have allowed 44 or fewer rushing yards in three of the remaining five games.
That means that while the Packers occasionally play elite run defense, they are more typically average. If the Seahawks can run away from Kenny Clark, they should be able to move the ball on the ground effectively. That should allow Charbonnet to get in the end zone regardless of whether Kenneth Walker plays.
Charbonnet was excellent against the Cardinals, so he figures either to lead Seattle's backfield again or at least split carries with Walker, who is dealing with a calf injury. He ran 22 times for 134 yards and two touchdowns last Sunday against Arizona. Celebrate Sunday night with a glass of Charbonnet.
DK Metcalf anytime TD (+150)
This would be a lot more appealing if Metcalf weren't banged up, but he figures to be a good matchup against this Packers defense. Why? Because Green Bay has had its share of issues guarding top-two receivers this season. They have tended to struggle against bigger-bodied players, which explains Tim Patrick's two-touchdown performance on "Thursday Night Football" last week, and downfield threat, which explains Tyreek Hill's strong game on Thanksgiving.
Metcalf checks both boxes. The 6-4, 235-pound receiver is a physical threat who has often outjumped or boxed out his opponent, but he also ranks seventh in the league in air yards with 1,210. That should give him a chance to beat Green Bay's solid but unspectacular pass defense at times throughout the game.
There is some risk with backing Metcalf, as he doesn't get an abundance of Seattle's red-zone targets. Still, he is a threat to score long-distance touchdowns and has the size needed to be a threat inside the 20-yard line. He also hasn't scored in four games, so Geno Smith may try to break that streak if the opportunity presents itself. Either way, this looks like a solid value bet.