Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl predictions: Who will win Super Bowl 59?
The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to become the first NFL team to win three consecutive Super Bowls. The vengeance-seeking Philadelphia Eagles are the only thing standing in the way of that goal.
The Chiefs and Eagles are set to play in the Super Bowl for the second time in the last three years. The two teams initially met in Super Bowl 57, a game that Kansas City won 38-35 thanks to a 27-yard Harrison Butker field goal with eight seconds remaining in regulation.
Super Bowl 59 doesn't figure to be as high-flying as its predecessor, as both the Chiefs and Eagles sport top-five scoring defenses. Still, the game looks evenly matched on paper, and the victor will likely end up being the team that can get the most out of its offensive superstars in tough-looking matchups.
Will Saquon Barkley continue his top-notch playoff run? Can Patrick Mahomes buck a trend of middling performances against top passing defenses? Here are some predictions for Super Bowl 59.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl predictions
The Eagles face a tough task in dethroning the Chiefs, but it isn't impossible. To do it, they will need Saquon Barkley to be an X-factor despite Kansas City boasting a tough run defense.
The Chiefs allowed the third-fewest rushing yards to running backs during the regular season. Part of that was a product of teams trailing them often, but the other element is that the middle of Kansas City's defense is stout and has proven effective at slowing down top rushing attacks. Remember, they held Derrick Henry to a season-low 46 yards on 13 carries in Week 1 and continued to thrive against the run after that.
If Barkley is slowed by Kansas City's stop unit, Jalen Hurts will be tasked with beating the Chiefs. He has proven capable of doing that and would have at least one target, Dallas Goedert, with a top-tier matchup against a Chiefs defense that allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends in the regular season.
Still, asking the Eagles to win a higher-volume passing game is risky. Philadelphia has a respectable 6-3 record when it attempts more than 25 passes in a game. Comparatively, the Eagles are an undefeated 11-0 when they have 25 or fewer attempts, so running the ball will remain critical for Philadelphia as it looks for revenge.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs' offense will be focused on finding a hole in a stout Eagles defense that ranks second in defensive EPA per passing play. Patrick Mahomes has been merely decent against teams that rank top 10 in that category this season; he has thrown just six touchdowns in seven games against such teams with a modest 92.33 passer rating.
The saving grace for Mahomes is the Eagles have struggled against tight ends since losing Nakobe Dean to a season-ending knee injury in the first round of the playoffs. Tyler Higbee and Zach Ertz combined for 18 catches, 163 yards and a touchdown against them over the last two games, so Travis Kelce figures to have space in which to operate. That could go a long way toward making Mahomes comfortable in an otherwise unforgiving matchup.
All told, this looks like a grind-it-out, defensive battle that will be decided by a couple of big-time plays on each side of the ball. That said, the Chiefs still look like they have the advantage in this game. They simply have a better chance of keeping Barkley in check throughout the evening than the Eagles do of limiting the Mahomes-Kelce connection.
Expect the Chiefs to pull out another tight Super Bowl win, this time with a 23-20 final score.
Super Bowl 2025: Chiefs vs. Eagles odds
Odds via BetMGM as of Monday.
- Kansas City (-125) vs. Philadelphia (+105)
- KC (-1.5); O/U: 49
Chiefs vs. Eagles: How to watch Super Bowl
- Channel: Fox
- Live stream: Tubi, Fubo
The Super Bowl in 2025 will be broadcasted on Fox. Cord cutters can catch the action on Tubi, Fox's free streaming service or Fubo, which comes with a free trial.
Kevin Burkhardt and Tom Brady, the network's top NFL commentary team, will be on the call with Erin Andrews and Tom Rinaldi patrolling the sidelines. Mike Pereira will serve as Fox's rules analyst for the game.