Super Bowl prop bets: Ranking the best Chiefs vs. Eagles bets so far
Super Bowl 59 is right around the corner, and NFL bettors are excited about the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles matchup.
The Chiefs and Eagles met in Super Bowl 57 and produced a close, high-scoring affair. Kansas City ultimately won 38-35 on a Harrison Butker field goal with eight seconds left in regulation, so Philadelphia will be out for revenge in this contest.
Both the Chiefs and Eagles are a lot different than the squads that faced one another in Super Bowl 57. Each is more of a defense-oriented squad, so we are unlikely to see another high-scoring Super Bowl clash in 2025.
That said, there are still plenty of high-quality player prop bets NFL bettors can target as they look to profit one last time on the NFL's 2024 season and postseason. Here are some of the best prop bets for the Chiefs vs. Eagles matchup as it stands.
Best Super Bowl 59 prop bets
All odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Travis Kelce OVER 62.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Eagles allowed a league-low 591 receiving yards to tight ends during the 2024 regular season. However, since losing Nakobe Dean to a season-ending knee injury in the wild card round against the Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia has struggled to cover tight ends.
Tyler Higbee logged seven catches for 54 yards and a touchdown against Philadelphia in the divisional round. Zach Ertz followed that up with an 11-catch, 109-yard outing against the Eagles in the NFC championship game.
Kelce could be the next to exploit Philadelphia's weakness next to Zack Baun. The veteran tight end has had a down season by his standards, but he has a great track record in the Super Bowl, averaging 7.75 catches and 87.5 yards per game in his first four appearances in the Big Game. Patrick Mahomes figures to look his way early and often to jumpstart the Chiefs' offense against a top-tier Eagles defense.
Dallas Goedert OVER 51.5 receiving yards (-115)
Kelce isn't the only tight end who should have an advantage in this game. Goedert is facing a Chiefs defense that allowed a league-high 1,191 yards to tight ends this season. The veteran tight end has looked healthy through three postseason games, averaging five catches for 62.7 yards per game over that span.
Goedert has averaged 5.5 catches and 58 yards per game in two career meetings with Kansas City, including his six-catch, 60-yard outing in Super Bowl 57. Expect Jalen Hurts to look his way early to open up space for A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.
Jalen Hurts anytime TD scorer (-115)
The Chiefs did a great job slowing down Josh Allen on the "Tush Push" in their AFC championship game win over the Buffalo Bills. Can Kansas City do the same against Hurts, the play's founding father?
That won't be easy. Hurts has powerful legs and gets lower to the ground on the play than Allen does, which allows the Eagles quarterback to push the pile and generate quality short-yardage gains. The Chiefs may be able to stop it on occasion, but accounting for both the "Brotherly Shove" and Saquon Barkley at the goal line may prove too difficult.
With that in mind, betting either Barkley or Hurts to score is reasonable. Hurts' odds are much shorter than the -200 ones attached to Barkley, so he is the superior value. Hurts also has scored a rushing touchdown in five of his last seven games. One of the two games he didn't in that span was against the Washington Commanders, when he was knocked out in the first quarter with a concussion, so expect him to continue to be a threat on the ground in this matchup.
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 1.5 passing TDs (+130)
Mahomes has thrown multiple touchdowns in three of the four Super Bowl he has played thus far in his career. Why will this one be different? He hasn't had the same level of passing success against top pass defenses during the 2024 NFL season.
Mahomes has played seven games against teams that rank top 10 in defensive EPA per passing play this season. In those contests, he has thrown a combined six touchdowns and has failed to log multiple scores through the air in any game.
The Eagles rank second in defensive EPA per passing play, so fading Mahomes might be the right move in this tough matchup – especially if you're expecting a lower-scoring Super Bowl.