New York Mets at Miami Marlins predictions, picks and best bets
The New York Mets (20-23) and Miami Marlins (11-31) play their second of a three-game set Saturday at Marlins Park at 4:10 p.m. Eastern.
The Marlins won Friday's series opener 8-6 with all runs coming off Mets starter Jacob deGrom.
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Projected Pitching Starters
LHP Steven Matz vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Matz has a 3.86 ERA through his first seven starts of the year. He's allowing a troubling 2.06 home runs per nine with a hard-contact rate of 41.9 percent. He's walked just one over his last two starts.
Lopez is striking out 9.22 hitters per nine but holds a 5.93 ERA as he strands just 58.8 percent of base runners. He gave up 10 earned runs over three innings his last time out, against the Mets.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins: By the Numbers
- Friday was the Marlins' first victory over the Mets in six tries this season. Five of six games played to the OVER and all but one was decided by multiple runs.
- Miami is just 7-17 straight up at home and 9-15 against the spread. The Mets are 14-12 ATS as the visitors, but sport a road record of 11-15. They've played to the OVER in 14 of 26 road matchups.
- The Marlins' .597 team OPS against lefties is the worst collective clip in all of baseball. They walk in a league-low 5.2 percent of plate appearances.
- Both teams rank in the bottom 11 of the league in bullpen ERA. The Marlins' 5.43 mark is the fourth-worst rate.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Key Injuries
</div> <p>The Mets placed OF <strong>Michael Conforto</strong> on the seven-day concussion list Friday. <strong>Jeff McNeil</strong> hopes to return for Saturday's game after being pulled Friday due to an abdominal strain.</p> <p>The Marlins remain without OF <strong>Peter O'Brien</strong>.</p> <h1 class="presto-h1">New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Picks and Betting Tips</h1> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> Go with the <strong>Mets</strong> at <strong>-112</strong> with the superior starter and offense.</p> <p> <strong>Against the spread:</strong> Twenty-six of the Marlins' 31 losses this year have been by at least two runs. Back New York at <strong>+140</strong> to cover <strong>-1.5</strong>.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The projected total of <strong>7.5</strong> is the lowest number on Saturday's slate. Take the <strong>OVER</strong> at <strong>-102</strong>.</p> <p> <em>Follow Esten on Twitter <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/EstenMcLaren">@EstenMcLaren</a> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/watch-avonte-maddox-provides-an-update-on-his-status-after-returning-to-philly/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">WATCH: Avonte Maddox provides an update on his status after returning to Philly</a></p></body></html>