Skip to main content

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees predictions, picks and best bets


The Boston Red Sox (29-28) and New York Yankees (37-19) continue their series at Yankee Stadium on Saturday night, and the home side looks to put a little more distance between themselves and their rivals from New England.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Projected Starting Pitchers

May 21, 2019; Baltimore, MD, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Domingo German (55) delivers a pitch during the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. (Photo Credit: Tommy Gilligan - Paste BN Sports)

RHP Rick Porcello vs. RHP Domingo German

Porcello started the season in rather rough fashion, and his 4-4 record and 4.41 ERA in 11 starts overall doesn't look particularly impressive. However, he has posted three consecutive quality starts, and the Red Sox are an impressive 7-1 over his past eight outings. He is 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.07 WHIP across his past three assignments. A road game will be a huge test to his quality starts streak, as he is 0-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.52 WHIP with a .348 on-base percentage away from home.

German has been a godsend for the Yankees this season, filling a major void in the front-end of their rotation. He is 9-1 with a 3.43 ERA across 60 1/3 innings with 63 strikeouts. He was tuned up last time out in Kansas City of all places, allowing seven earned runs, nine hits and four homers across just five innings. At home, however, he is 4-1 with a sparkling 1.69 ERA and 0.98 WHIP across 26 2/3 innings.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: By the Numbers

  • The Red Sox are 7-1 over Porcello's past eight starts, and 5-0 in his past five outings following a quality start.

  • The Red Sox are just 2-7 across the past nine games against teams with a winning overall record, while the Yankees are 4-1 in their past five against winning teams.
  • The Yankees have won six of German's past seven outings, and they're 6-2 across his past eight starts at home.
  • New York has won 11 of their past 16 games at home against the Red Sox, although the Yankees are just 1-5 in their past six tries against Boston when Porcello starts.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> The <strong>Red Sox</strong> ( <strong>+106)</strong> are 'dogs with Porcello on the bump despite his solid success against the <strong>Yankees</strong> (- <strong>122)</strong>. German has been dominant all season, and the Yankees are the play on their home field.</p> <p> <strong>Run Line:</strong> The Red Sox ( <strong>+1.5, -190)</strong> might actually be worth a roll of the dice on the run line, as these rivalry games are usually very close. The Yankees ( <strong>-1.5, +158)</strong> are tempting, however, getting plus-money at home.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> Roll with the <strong>UNDER</strong> ( <strong>9.5</strong>, - <strong>110)</strong>, as the total has gone under in four straight in this series, and four straight meetings in the Bronx. The under is 8-2-2 in Porcello's past 12 starts against the Yankees, too.</p> <p> <em>Follow Joe on Twitter <strong> <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/JoeWilliamsVI">@JoeWilliamsVI</a> </strong> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/mariners-felix-hernandez-walk-off-mound-emotional/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">See Felix Hernandez's emotional walk off the mound for the Mariners</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p></body></html>