The Milwaukee Brewers (40-34) close out June with a 10-game homestand at Miller Park. They'll start with a four-game set against the NL Central-rival Cincinnati Reds (34-38) beginning Thursday at 8:10 p.m. Eastern.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds , access them at Paste BN Sports .

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers: Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Tanner Roark vs. RHP Jimmy Nelson

Roark has been the Reds' second-best starter this year behind Luis Castillo. His ERA sits at 3.63 through 14 starts and 74 1/3 innings. He's striking out a career-high 8.96 hitters per nine but also walking a career-worst 3.27. He's averaging just 0.61 home runs allowed per nine despite an opponent's hard-contact rate of 37.6 percent on balls in play. He's performed evenly at home and on the road. Last outing: Roark struck out five and walked none against the Texas Rangers, giving up eight hits and four runs (two earned) over a seven-inning loss.

Nelson has pitched a total of just seven innings over two starts after rejoining the rotation following a lengthy injury absence. He has eight strikeouts but six walks while allowing nine runs (eight earned). Of balls put in play against Nelson, 43.5 percent have been classified as hard contact.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers: By the Numbers

• Milwaukee has taken four of the five meetings between the two this year. The first three games were decided by a single run, while the first four played to the under.
• The Brewers were just swept by the San Diego Padres and went 2-6 on their road trip. They're 22-13 at home and have covered the spread 19 times while playing to a 17-17-1 mark against the over/under.

• The Reds have won four straight and just completed a sweep of the AL West-leading Houston Astros at home. They're just 15-21 as the visitors but have covered the spread 22 times. They've played to just 11 overs on the road.
• Cincinnati's .709 team OPS against right-handed pitching ranks just 25th in baseball. Milwaukee's .779 group rate ranks 12th.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers: Key Injuries

Reds 2B Scooter Gennett (groin) was scratched from a rehab start Tuesday due to a wet field as a precautionary measure. He should return to the majors by the end of the month.

Brewers 2B Mike Moustakas sat out Wednesday's series finale against the Padres due to a hand contusion. He isn't expected to miss much time.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> Take the value at <strong>+116</strong> while backing the hotter <strong>Reds</strong> team. The Brewers have a much better overall lineup but it's cooled of late. Roark should be able to pitch deeper than the rusty Nelson.</p> <p> <strong>Run line:</strong> The <strong>-164</strong> for Cincinnati to cover <strong>+1.5</strong> isn't quite as attractive but is still a decent play for those not trusting the moneyline.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The easiest play of the game is the <strong>UNDER</strong> <strong>(-120)</strong> on a projected total of <strong>9.5</strong>, with neither team playing to high numbers consistently.</p> <p> <strong>Esten's June record:</strong> 41-42-2</p> <p> <em>Follow Esten on Twitter <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/EstenMcLaren">@EstenMcLaren</a> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/an-11-player-wall-couldnt-stop-this-indirect-free-kick-game-winner/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">An 11-player wall couldn't stop this indirect free kick game-winner</a></p></body></html>