Houston Astros at New York Yankees predictions, picks and best bets
The Houston Astros (48-27) and New York Yankees (46-27) kick off a four-game set in the Bronx in a potential playoff preview. The last time these teams met at Minute Maid Park on April 8-10, the Astros swept a three-game set while outscoring the Yankees 18-12.
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.
Houston Astros at New York Yankees: Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Chad Green
Valdez heads into this one with a 3-2 record, 2.77 ERA and .296 opponent on-base percentage across 39 innings in 14 relief appearances and a pair of starts. He has recorded back-to-back quality starts since joining the rotation, allowing three earned runs, nine hits and two walks with 15 strikeouts over 13 innings, going 1-1.
Green takes the ball looking to pare down his ugly 7.54 ERA over 22 2/3 innings this season. Most of his damage came earlier in the year, as he has settled into an 'opener' role, and he has excelled. The Yankees are 5-0 across his past five 'starts.' The Yankees are 6-0 in Green's past six home starts, and 4-0 in his past four against teams with a winning overall record.
Houston Astros at New York Yankees: By the Numbers
- The Astros have posted five victories over their past seven against teams with a winning record, and they're 46-22 in the past 68 games overall.
- Houston has posted a 5-2 record in the past seven against teams with a winning record. However, they're 0-4 in the past four against right-handed starting pitchers.
- The Yankees are 6-2 in the past eight games against AL West foes, and 43-14 in the past 57 home games against teams with a winning percentage over .600.
- The Astros have won just once in the past six trips to Yankee Stadium.
Houston Astros at New York Yankees: Picks and Betting Tips
</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> The <strong>Astros</strong> ( <strong>+116)</strong> have gotten tremendous pitching from Valdez, who is settling into a starting role rather nicely. Place a small-bet on the visitors, as the luck of the Yankees (-132) with Green as an opener will run out soon.</p> <p> <strong>Run Line:</strong> The Astros ( <strong>+1.5, -174)</strong> haven't had a lot of success at Yankee Stadium, but they're worth eating the chalk for a little insurance. The Yankees (-1.5, +148) are just not worth the risk, as Valdez has been a solid performer who isn't allowing much as a starter.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The <strong>OVER</strong> ( <strong>9.5, -116</strong> <strong>)</strong> is the play despite the under trends for Houston. The over is 8-3 in New York's last 11 games, and 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings at Yankee Stadium while going 3-1-1 in the past five meetings overall.</p> <p> <em>Follow Joe on Twitter <strong> <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/JoeWilliamsVI">@JoeWilliamsVI</a> </strong> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/an-11-player-wall-couldnt-stop-this-indirect-free-kick-game-winner/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">An 11-player wall couldn't stop this indirect free kick game-winner</a></p></body></html>