Skip to main content

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals predictions, picks and best bets


The Philadelphia Phillies (39-34) and Washington Nationals (35-38) do battle in Game 3 of their series, Thursday at 7:05 p.m. Eastern, and the Phils will be looking for revenge after getting swept in a doubleheader on Wednesday. Both games played to the under.

Odds courtesy of Bet365; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Pivetta takes a 4-1 record into play Thursday, but he has a poor 5.00 ERA with a .333 opponent on-base percentage over 45 innings in eight starts. He is hopeful this outing will go a little better than April 10 when he faced the Nats at home in a 15-1 loss. He coughed up seven earned runs, seven hits and three walks with six strikeouts over 3 2/3 innings, and he had a season-high 25.6 pitches per inning.

Fedde checks into the game with a 1-1 record, 3.68 ERA and 21 strikeouts over 36 2/3 innings in five starts and five relief appearances. He hasn't faced the Phillies yet this season. The Nationals are just 2-6 in Fedde's past eight starts while going 1-9 in his past 10 home outings. That includes an 0-6 mark across Fedde's past six home starts against teams with a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: By the Numbers

  • Philadelphia has dropped five of the past six games overall, and they're 1-5 in the past six vs. RHPs.
  • The Phillies are 0-6 in Pivetta's past six road outings, and 2-7 in his past nine inside the NL East. Philadelphia is also 2-5 in his past seven starts against teams with a losing overall record.

  • Washington has picked up four victories in the past five outings, and they're 9-2 in the past 11 vs. righties. They're also 4-0 in the past four games inside the division.
  • The Phillies are 2-5 in the past seven meetings, 2-6 in the past eight trips to D.C., and they're 0-7 in Pivetta's past seven tries against the Nats.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> The Phillies (+115) should be avoided against the <strong>Nationals (-135)</strong>, who have dominated this series lately, particularly against Pivetta.</p> <p> <strong>Run line:</strong> The Phillies (+1.5, -165) just haven't fared well against the Nationals, who are playing much better baseball lately. Roll with the Nats ( <strong>-1.5, +145)</strong> for a small-unit play and ride the wave until it crashes.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The <strong>OVER</strong> ( <strong>10, -105</strong> <strong>)</strong> is worth a roll of the dice, having cashed in five of Pivetta's past six starts against the Nationals. The over is also 5-2-1 in Fedde's past eight starts overall, and 4-0 in his past four inside the division.</p> <p> <em>Follow Joe on Twitter <strong> <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/JoeWilliamsVI">@JoeWilliamsVI</a> </strong> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/an-11-player-wall-couldnt-stop-this-indirect-free-kick-game-winner/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">An 11-player wall couldn't stop this indirect free kick game-winner</a></p></body></html>