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Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs predictions, picks and best bets


The Atlanta Braves (46-33) look to bounce back in Game 2 of their series on the road against the Chicago Cubs (43-35) after getting rolled in the opener by an 8-3 count.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs: Projected Starting Pitchers

Jun 19, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Max Fried (54) delivers a pitch to a New York Mets batter in the first inning at SunTrust Park. (Photo Credit: Jason Getz - Paste BN Sports)

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Adbert Alzolay

The Braves have cashed in four straight starts with the southpaw Fried on the hill, and they're 5-1 across the past six against teams with a winning overall mark. Atlanta has also connected in four straight road outings by Fried. Overall Fried is 8-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 76 strikeouts over 82 2/3 innings. He has been a little shaky lately, posting a 5.40 ERA over his past three outings with a WHIP of 1.50.

Alzolay made his major league debut against the Mets on June 20, and he allowed just one earned run, one hit and two walks with five strikeouts in a relief appearance. Now, he'll take the ball for the first time as a starter.

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs: By the Numbers

  • The Braves are 12-3 in the past 15 games against a right-handed starting pitcher, and they're 5-1 in the past six on the road vs. RHP.
  • Atlanta has posted a 13-4 record across the past 17 games overall and they're 11-5 in the past 16 against teams with a winning overall mark.

  • The Cubs have cashed in 10 of the past 14 home games, while going 19-7 in the past 26 home outings against a team with a winning overall mark.
  • The over is 5-1-1 in the past seven starts by Fried, and 5-1 in his past six road contests.

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> The <strong>Braves</strong> ( <strong>-108)</strong> are even on the road behind one of their better pitchers. The <strong>Cubs</strong> <strong>(-108)</strong> have questions, as it's unclear how Alzolay will react in a starting role, and how long he'll stick around.</p> <p> <strong>Run line:</strong> The <strong>Braves</strong> ( <strong>-1.5, +138)</strong> should be avoided, as they're a much better value on the moneyline. The <strong>Cubs</strong> <strong>(+1.5, -162)</strong> are too risky at this price.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The <strong>OVER</strong> ( <strong>12, -106)</strong>, which is the highest on Tuesday's slate, is 5-2 in Fried's past seven starts against a winning team, and 5-1 in his past six road outings against a team with a winning overall mark. The over is also 18-7-1 in the past 26 overall for Atlanta, and 15-5-1 in the past 21 vs. RHP. It also helps that there is a 13-16 mph wind blowing out to straightaway center field.</p> <p> <em>Follow Joe on Twitter <strong> <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/JoeWilliamsVI">@JoeWilliamsVI</a> </strong> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/an-11-player-wall-couldnt-stop-this-indirect-free-kick-game-winner/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">An 11-player wall couldn't stop this indirect free kick game-winner</a></p></body></html>