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Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers predictions, picks and best bets

Joe Williams  |  Sportsbook Wire

The Seattle Mariners (35-47) kick off a three-game interleague set on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers (42-36) Tuesday at Miller Park at 8:10 p.m. Eastern.

Neither team has been very good in interleague play, as the Mariners are 0-4 in four games against the National League, and the Brewers are just 2-5 in seven games vs. the AL.

Odds courtesy of Bet365; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: Projected Starting Pitchers

LHP Marco Gonzales vs. RHP Zach Davies

Gonzales enters play with an 8-6 record, 4.38 ERA and 67 strikeouts across 96 2/3 innings in 17 starts this season. He had a shaky patch in late May to early June, but he has picked up the pace again, going 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over the past three starts. He has been a much better pitcher on the road, too, going 4-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 48 2/3 innings as the visitor. He is 4-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP across 48 innings at home.

Davies puts his 7-1 record and 3.06 ERA on the line against the M's in this interleague series opener. He was smacked around for five earned runs and nine hits in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at San Diego. He heads into this one with a 4-0 record, 3.13 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across 31 2/3 innings at home this season.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: By the Numbers

  • The Mariners are 7-21 across the past 28 games on the road, and they're 0-5 in the past five interleague road battles, too.
  • Seattle has won just three of the past 10 starts by Gonzales, and they're 1-4 in his past five starts against teams with a winning overall record.

  • The Brewers are a perfect 4-0 over the past four starts at home by Davies, while going 7-1 in his past eight against teams with a losing record.
  • Milwaukee has won six of the past eight games at Miller Park, and they have won six in a row at home in interleague play. They're also 5-0 in the past five at home vs. LHPs.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> The <strong>Mariners</strong> ( <strong>+145)</strong> are moderate 'dogs on the road despite the fact they have one of their better pitchers going. However, their poor results in interleague play scream stay away. The <strong>Brewers</strong> <strong>(-165)</strong> have had great success with Davies on the bump, and they're worth eating the chalk on Tuesday.</p> <p> <strong>Run line:</strong> The <strong>Mariners</strong> ( <strong>+1.5, -130)</strong> aren't a bad play catching a run and a half on the road, as this game could be a well-pitched, tight game. The <strong>Brewers</strong> <strong>(-1.5, +110)</strong> are better played on the moneyline.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The <strong>UNDER</strong> ( <strong>10, -110)</strong> is 5-2 in Seattle's past seven interleague road games vs. RHPs. Despite the fact the over is the trend in Gonzales' past five (4-1), the under is the play. The under is 15-5-1 in the past 21 home outings by Davies, and 34-16-3 in his last 53 starts overall.</p> <p> <em>Follow Joe on Twitter <strong> <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/JoeWilliamsVI">@JoeWilliamsVI</a> </strong> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/rangers-mike-minor-200th-strike-out-after-not-catching-foul-ball-on-purpose/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Rangers ripped for not catching easy foul ball so pitcher could reach milestone</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/an-11-player-wall-couldnt-stop-this-indirect-free-kick-game-winner/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">An 11-player wall couldn't stop this indirect free kick game-winner</a></p></body></html>

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