Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, predictions, picks and best bets

Esten McLaren | Sportsbook Wire

The Philadelphia Phillies (50-47) and Pittsburgh Pirates (45-50) reignite the battle of Pennsylvania Friday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates: Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Jake Arrieta vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Arrieta comes into Friday with a 4.54 ERA and a nearly-identical xFIP as he tries finishing out the season with a bone spur in his pitching elbow. He's striking out just 6.93 batters per nine against 3.35 walks. He's giving up a career-worst 37.1 percent rate of hard contact on balls in play. Last outing: Arrieta allowed just one earned run over a five-inning no-decision against the Washington Nationals.

Lyles enters the day with a 10.13 ERA over his last seven starts. His season ERA is up to 5.16 as opponents are hitting .310 on balls in play with a hard-contact rate of 37.7 percent. The visiting team is slashing .294/.335/.523 against him when at home. Last outing: Lyles gave up seven earned runs for the second consecutive start, lasting just 2/3 of an inning against the Chicago Cubs.

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates: By the Numbers

The intra-state rivals meet for the first time in 2019. The Phillies took the first six head-to-head meetings last year before losing the season series finale in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates' .782 team OPS against right-handed pitching ranks 10th in the majors. The Phillies' .736 team mark is 20th. Only two teams strike out at lower rates in the split than Pittsburgh.

Both team rank in the bottom third of the league in bullpen ERA. The Phillies are just one of seven teams with a group rate above 5.00.
The Pirates are 7-3 against the over/under in their last 10 games, despite going 3-7 straight up. They're 22-21 SU but 17-26 against the spread at home on the season. The Phillies are 20-26 SU and 25-21 ATS as the visitors.

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> Moneyline: The Pirates are getting -110 at home in a projected tight match up. It's a solid play, as they look to turn things around and get back into the NL Central race. Run line: The +170 for Pittsburgh to cover -1.5 is worth a small investment and the Phillies' poor splits against righties could help Lyles get back on track. Over/under: Take the UNDER (10, -102) with a better payout and two uninspiring pitchers likely to help the offenses get on track. Esten's July record: 28-39-2 Follow Esten on Twitter <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/EstenMcLaren">@EstenMcLaren</a> MORE: <a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a> <a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a> <a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a> <a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/draymond-green-tried-to-bluff-a-poker-pro-and-lost-everything/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Draymond Green tried to bluff a poker pro and lost everything</a> <a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ad-astra-brad-pitt-explained-right-wrong/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Where Ad Astra went right and where it went very wrong</a></body></html>

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