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Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds, predictions, picks and best bets


The Cincinnati Reds (50-56) kick off a four-game series at SunTrust Park against the Atlanta Braves (64-45). This will be the first meeting between these teams since April 23-25 when the Reds took two of three at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.

Odds courtesy of Bet365; for a full-set of today's sports betting odds, access them at Paste BN Sports.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves: Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Anthony DeSclafani vs. LHP Max Fried

DeSclafani has registered a 6-5 record, 4.01 ERA and .308 opponent on-base percentage while recording 110 strikeouts over his 103 1/3 innings in 20 outings. While he has a 3.40 ERA in 53 innings at home, he has been a little more hittable on the road. DeSclafani is 2-2 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with 10 homers allowed in just 50 1/3 innings. He didn't face the Braves in that series back in late April but has posted a 1-0 record, 2.53 ERA in 10 2/3 innings in two starts since the start of the 2016 season.

The southpaw Fried is 11-4 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 20 starts and two relief appearances this season, although he has been rather hittable with a .280 opponent batting average. He enjoys pitching under the lights, as he is 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance during the day, and 10-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 17 starts and one relief appearance at night.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves: By the Numbers

  • The Reds have won four of the past five outings, but they're just 4-9 in the past 13 on the road, and 1-4 in DeSclafani's past five outings against teams with a winning record.
  • The Braves have ripped off five straight wins against the NL Central with Fried on the hill, and they're 7-2 in his past nine outings overall.

  • The under is 3-0-1 in DeSclafani's past four starts overall, and 5-2-1 in his past eight against teams with a winning record.
  • The under is 23-8 for the Reds in the past 31 games vs. LHPs, while going 5-1 in the past six at home vs. RHPs for the Braves.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves: Picks and Betting Tips

</div> <p> <strong>Moneyline:</strong> The Reds (+130) have won four of the past five meetings in this series, but they're terrible on the road. The <strong>Braves (-150)</strong> are the play, especially since they're 20-8 in the past 28 against losing teams.</p> <p> <strong>Run line:</strong> The Reds (+1.5, -145) are moderate chalk on the run line, but they're a poor play based on Cincinnati's struggles on the road. The <strong>Braves (-1.5, +125)</strong> are a pretty strong value at this price point, especially since they're 4-1 in the past five vs. RHPs, and 10-4 in their past 14 at home against teams with a losing record.</p> <p> <strong>Over/under:</strong> The <strong>UNDER</strong> <strong>(9.5, -120)</strong> is the play in this one. The under is 43-18-1 in Cincinnati's past 62 on the road while going 36-16-1 in its past 53 away from home against winning sides. The under is 5-0 in Atlanta's past five at home, and 5-1 in the past six at home vs. RHPs.</p> <p> <em>Follow Joe on Twitter <a rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/JoeWilliamsVI">@JoeWilliamsVI</a> </em> </p> <p><strong>MORE:</strong></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/burmese-python-discovered-in-surprising-place/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Burmese python discovered in surprising place</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/packers-eagles-goal-line-passes/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Packers' puzzling goal-line decisions end in disaster</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2018/04/most-bizarre-and-incredible-catches-by-fishermen-in-past-decade-2/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Most bizarre and incredible catches by fishermen in past decade</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ad-astra-brad-pitt-explained-right-wrong/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">Where Ad Astra went right and where it went very wrong</a></p> <p><a href="https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/09/ufc-fighter-makes-opponent-flinch-by-screaming-in-his-face-during-staredown/?utm_source=USATAPP&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=inline-related">UFC fighter makes opponent flinch by screaming in his face during staredown</a></p></body></html>