Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators odds, picks and best bets

The Tennessee Volunteers (1-2) visit the Florida Gators (3-0) for a 12 p.m. ET kickoff in Gainesville.

The two sides of this SEC rivalry have disappointed bettors to the tune of a combined 1-4 mark against the spread through three weeks.

Florida is ranked No. 8 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports.

Tennessee at Florida: Betting trends and tips

• Tennessee committed six turnovers and finished the game with a minus-5 margin in last year's (Sept. 23) 47-21 loss to the Gators.
• Florida finished 2018 with a plus-12 TO margin. The Gators have logged six takeaways and six turnovers in 2019.
• This year's spread is the largest in the series since 2013, when UF beat UT, 31-17, but failed to cover a 16.5-point figure.

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• The Gators lost their starting quarterback, Feleipe Franks, to a season-ending injury in last week's 29-21 win at Kentucky. Junior backup Kyle Trask was a 64% passer a year ago but has attempted just 40 passes in his collegiate career.

• Florida has won seven straight home games straight up and hasn't lost to Tennessee in the Swamp since 2003.
• The Volunteers are 5-10 ATS over their last 15 SEC contests.
• The over has prevailed in eight of the Gators' last 11 games.
• Last 10 meetings: the Gators have outscored the Volunteers 29.4-20.5, in a series that has gone 4-4-2 ATS.
• UF head coach Dan Mullen (second year at Florida, formerly at Mississippi State) is 4-1 ATS over his last five SEC home openers.

Tennessee at Florida: Odds, betting lines and picks

Sep 14, 2019; Knoxville, TN, USA; Tennessee Volunteers wide receiver Marquez Callaway (1) celebrates with wide receiver Josh Palmer (5) after a touchdown against the Chattanooga Mocs during the first half at Neyland Stadium. (Photo Credit: Randy Sartin - Paste BN Sports)

Odds via BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Florida 31, Tennessee 20

Moneyline ( ?)

The line is Florida -667/Tennessee +450. The bigger the moneyline, the more juice to overcome. And, in this case, the quicker the pass.

Against the Spread ( ?)

Both sides set up as potential fade candidates in upcoming weeks. The line is Florida -14. And that number is too difficult to get leverage on with both sides. With a backup quarterback going for UF and other question marks in play (including a third of each sample size being an FCS squad), this line is one on which to pass.

Over/Under ( ?)

A couple injuries and question marks are in the pass-defense departments for each side. And there is some minor analytic pull against both defenses in the first place. Take the OVER 48.5 (-110) as the strongest action in this match-up.

Skip Snow is 2-2 ATS this season on his SportsbookWire college football plays.

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