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Louisville Cardinals at Florida State Seminoles odds, picks and best bets


The Louisville Cardinals (2-1) and Florida State Seminoles (1-2) tangle at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday in the Atlantic Coast Conference opener for the Cards, and the second league tilt for the 'Noles.

Louisville at Florida State: Betting Trends and Tips

  • Louisville's only setback came against Notre Dame in the opener, but they were able to narrowly cover. They rebounded by throttling Eastern Kentucky 42-0 and held on for the cover last week against Western Kentucky, posting a 3-0 ATS mark so far.
  • FSU blew it in Charlottesville last week, dropping a 31-24 decision in Virginia, a game they probably should've won.
  • The Seminoles are 1-2 SU/2-0-1 ATS, and the only success they have had was a 45-44 win over Louisiana-Monroe of the Sun Belt Conference, and that was thanks to a missed extra point in OT.
  • The 'Noles posted a 28-24 win at the 'Ville on Sept. 29, 2018, avenging a 31-28 setback in Tally Oct. 21, 2017, and a 63-20 humbling in Kentucky on Sept. 17, 2016.
  • Both of these teams are poor against the number lately, as Louisville is 9-23 ATS in the past 32 overall, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven on the road. They're also 0-6 ATS in the past six league games.
  • Florida State is just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven against winning teams, 3-11-3 ATS in the past 17 ACC battles and 1-7-2 ATS in the past 10 games in the month of September.

Louisville at Florida State: Odds, betting lines and picks

Photo Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel - Paste BN Sports

Odds via BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports' betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated Friday at 6:00 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Louisville 30, Florida State 27

Moneyline

The Cardinals (+200) are worth a roll of the dice on the road at double money. The Seminoles (-250) haven't been able to put together a good full 60 minutes of football yet this season.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Louisville would return $20 in profit with a victory over FSU.

Against the Spread

The Cardinals (+6.5, -106) are catching less than a touchdown in this one, and that's still too high. If the line goes to a flat seven, or seven and a hook, go big. The Seminoles (-6.5, -115) have no business laying points to anyone at this point until they start showing some consistency, particularly on defense.

Over/Under

The OVER 61.5 (-110) is the dominant trend here. The over is 4-0 in Louisville's past four on the road, and 6-1 in their past seven ACC tilts. The over is 3-0 in FSU's three outings this season, and 7-1 in the past eight against winning teams. Oh, and the over has hit in five straight in this series, too. Hit it hard.

For each $10 wagered on the over, you'd see a $9.09 profit if the two teams combine to score 62 points or more.

Get some action in this one, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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