Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and best bets
The Denver Nuggets (25-11) head to the Big D to play the Dallas Mavericks (23-13) at American Airlines Center Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Nuggets-Mavericks sports betting odds and lines, with betting picks and tips for this NBA matchup.
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Nuggets at Mavericks: Key injuries
Nuggets
- PF Paul Millsap (knee) probable
- SG Will Barton (personal) out
- C Bol Bol (foot) out
Mavericks
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
- SG Ryan Broekhoff (knee) out
Nuggets at Mavericks : Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports for a full set of today's betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Nuggets 116, Mavericks 111
Moneyline (ML)
Let's back the NUGGETS (+125), who are finishing up a five-game road trip and should be motivated to even up the season series after losing their first meeting at home, 109-106. The Nuggets have held early-season MVP candidate, SF Luka Doncic, in check in their short history. Doncic has a 1-2 record against Denver, scoring 19.7 points per game on a .360 field-goal percentage and .217 rate from 3-point land. Also, they've been playing better recently (7-3 straight up in their last 10 games) compared to the Mavericks (5-5).
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
If we like the moneyline, we love the NUGGETS on the spread (+3.5, -115). Dallas has underperformed against the spread at home this season (7-11-1 ATS versus 11-5 on the road), while the Nuggets play slightly better ATS on the road (7-8-2 away versus 7-10-2 at home). It should be a little easier for Nuggets all-star big man, C Nikola Jokic, to get what he wants in the interior with Porzingis sidelined by injury.
A random tidbit here, but home favorites of 0-4.5 points are 4-7 ATS combined for games officiated by the referee crew assigned to this game: Matt Boland, Marc Davis and Courtney Kirkland.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 221.5 (+105) is the better play for various reasons. Dallas cashes the most Over tickets in the NBA (23-13 Over/Under record), the Nuggets score more points on the road than at home (107.1 PPG on the road versus 103.5 at home), Dallas is 12-7 O/U in home games and the Nuggets are 9-8 O/U in road games. Follow the trends.
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