Philadelphia 76ers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and best bets
The Philadelphia 76ers (25-14) visit the Dallas Mavericks (23-15) Saturday at American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the 76ers-Mavericks sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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76ers at Mavericks: Key injuries
76ers
- C Joel Embiid (hand) out
Mavericks
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
- PG J.J. Barea (illness) questionable
- SG Ryan Broekhoff (knee) out
76ers at Mavericks : Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports for a full set of today's betting odds. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
Prediction
76ers 117, Mavericks 111
Moneyline (ML)
Both teams have been inconsistent recently but the Mavericks (-128) have really been struggling. The 76ERS (+105) are coming off an impressive 109-98 win over the Boston Celtics and the Mavericks have lost three of their last four games, including a 129-114 whooping administered by the Los Angeles Lakers Friday.
The edge in this matchup goes to the 76ers who are 8-3 straight up when having a rest advantage over their opponent. The absence of all-star big man Embiid doesn't have to be a bad thing for the short term. Look for more spacing in the 76ers offense and freedom for Ben Simmons to create offense for his teammates. Also, the 76ers' 16th-ranked offense in points per game should have an easier time against a Mavericks defense ranked 15th in PPG allowed but missing their defensive anchor in Porzingis.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The ATS advantage goes to the 76ERS (+2.5, -125) in this game because they are 4-2-1 ATS in games they are getting 1-2.5 points, whereas the Mavericks are 1-3 ATS when favored by the same amount. Since 2016, the 76ers have the second-best against the spread record versus non-conference opponents at 59-41-4. Also, the Mavericks underperform ATS at home (7-13-1), and they are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
I am not in love with the value but LEAN 76ERS +2.5 (-125) for a little bit of insurance.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 222.5 (+105). The Mavericks have the second most Overs in the NBA (24-14 Over/Under record) and a 13-8 Over/Under record in Dallas. They also have a very potent offense-Dallas ranks third in points per game and first in offensive rating-but as discussed earlier is missing the heart of its interior defense and gives up the most fast-break points in the NBA. Furthermore, four of the last five Mavericks games went Over the total and the Over has cashed in the last four 76ers-Mavericks game.
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