Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans odds, picks and best bets
The Wisconsin Badgers (11-6, 4-2 Big Ten) visit the Breslin Center to play the conference rival Michigan State Spartans (13-4, 5-1) at 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Wisconsin-Michigan State odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Wisconsin at Michigan State: Three things you need to know
- Wisconsin is 3-1 versus ranked opponents this season with victories over Big Ten rivals Ohio State, Penn State and Maryland.
- In its last game, Michigan State suffered a 29-point loss to Purdue, 71-42, which is tied for its biggest loss since 2010 (they lost by 29 to Michigan in 2017).
- Since 2010-11, the Spartans have won six straight home games against the Badgers with the last five victories coming by double-digits.
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Wisconsin at Michigan State : Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Michigan State 67, Wisconsin 61
Moneyline (ML)
AVOID a moneyline wager on either side due to Michigan State's 33-10 record since 2014 when coming off a loss and its gross Michigan State -500 price point. I do expect the Spartans to bounce back from their 29-point trouncing at the hands of Purdue, so Wisconsin +375 is a no-go for me as well. But no way I'm laying $500 to earn a profit of a measly $100 if the Spartans win.
Against the Spread (ATS)
Wisconsin has played well against tough competition so far this season; the Badgers are 6-3-1 against the spread in games against above .500 teams. Second, they have the third-best ATS record (25-22-2) in the Big Ten against ranked opponents since 2014. Third, the Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Finally, Michigan State -9.5 (-110) is a mountain of a spread considering the Spartans are just 3-5 ATS when laying 9.5 or more points this season.
TAKE WISCONSIN +9.5 (-110).
Over/Under (O/U)
The last four Badgers-Spartans contests have gone Under, as have each of the teams' previous two games. Each have solid defenses-the Spartans are ranked 67th in the county in opponent's points per game compared to the Badgers' 14th ranking in such metric. Furthermore, the combined over/under record for Wisconsin-Michigan State is 3-5 against ranked opponents. I expect this Friday night conference rivalry game to play UNDER 131 (-106).
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