Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat odds, picks and best bets
The Charlotte Hornets (22-42) visit the Miami Heat (41-23) Wednesday at AmericanAirlines Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Hornets-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
The Hornets lost at the Atlanta Hawks 143-138 in double overtime Monday and have dropped four of their last five. The Heat are 5-1 in their last six after a 100-89 win at the Washington Wizards Sunday.
Wednesday will be the second of four Charlotte-Miami games this season. The Heat covered as 10.5-point favorites in the first contest, cruising to a 117-100 home victory - the O/U was 212.
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Hornets at Heat: Key injuries or suspensions
Hornets
- G Malik Monk (suspension) out
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (toe) questionable
- F Jae Crowder (concussion) probable
- F Udonis Haslem (illness) questionable
- G Tyler Herro (ankle) questionable
- C Meyers Leonard (ankle) out
- G Kendrick Nunn (illness) questionable
Hornets at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports for a full set of today's betting odds. Odds last updated at 4 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Heat 114, Hornets 107
Moneyline (ML)
PASS. While Miami (-589) owns the league's third-best home record at 27-4, the price is way too high. Every $5.89 wagered on the Heat moneyline profits only $1 if they win. That's too much chalk to risk. Charlotte (+425) offers a tempting 4.25-to-1 payoff if it wins, but Miami is just too good at home. I'll PASS and focus on the spread and total below.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The HORNETS ( +10.5, - 106) are worth a small play - even if Butler dresses for the Heat (-10.5, -115). Miami is an impressive 17-9-1 as a home favorite, but Charlotte is on a hot streak ATS, going 6-0-1 in its last seven - the push coming in its last game, the OT loss at Atlanta. I'm only going small because the Hornets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Heat and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six in Miami.
New to sports betting? Every $1.06 wagered on the Hornets' spread will profit $1 if they win outright (unlikely) or don't lose by 11 or more points.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 209.5 (- 115) is the STRONGEST PLAY as long as Butler plays. The Heat are 6-1 O/U in their last seven at home, 19-7 O/U in their last 26 at home and 7-1 O/U in their last eight games as a favorite. The O/U is also 13-6 in the last 19 head-to-head meetings in South Beach.
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Johnny's record since Feb. 1: 18-9. Strongest plays: 10-4.
Since Dec. 1: 55-34-2. Strongest plays: 31-13.
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