Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and best bets

Esten McLaren | Sportsbook Wire

The first-place Atlanta Braves (14-11) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (9-12) to Truist Park, Friday, for the first game of a three-game set between the NL East rivals. We analyze the Phillies-Braves betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.

Phillies at Braves: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Max Fried

Nola: 2-1, 2.05 ERA, 0.646 WHIP, 37 K, 4 BB, 26 1/3 IP, 4 starts

Has improved all three of his strikeout (12.6 K/9), walk (1.4 BB/9) and home run (1.0/9) rates from last season with just 6 earned runs allowed through 26 1/3 innings.
Completed six innings in each of his last three starts and topped 100 pitches in his last start while going 7 scoreless innings against the New York Mets in a 6-2 Phillies win.

Fried: 3-0, 1.24 ERA, 0.897 WHIP, 28 K, 9 BB, 29 IP, 5 starts

Yet to allow a home run through nearly 30 innings and 5 starts. Gave up 21 in 165 2/3 innings last year.
Completed five innings in all five outings this year with no more than 2 earned runs allowed in a single start. The Braves won each of those five starts.

Get some actionon this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet atBetMGMin NJ, IN, CO and WV.Bet now!

Phillies at Braves: Key injuries

Get the latest injury news here.

Phillies

OF Adam Haseley (wrist) out
RP David Robertson (elbow) out
RP Jose Alvarez (groin) doubtful

Braves

OF Ronald Acuna Jr. (wrist) out
2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) out
OF Nick Markakis (COVID-19) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Phillies at Braves: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Braves 3, Phillies 1

Moneyline (ML)

The Phillies (-110) are typically a safe choice whenever Nola is on the mound but Fried has been one of the top pitchers in baseball to start the year and the BRAVES (+100) are yet to lose when he takes the mound. Atlanta is without a pair of key bats in Acuna and Albies, but the remaining roster will have little trouble against a Phillies bullpen with a cumulative 8.07 ERA.

Take ATLANTA (+100) as even-money underdogs as the two Cy Young hopefuls go toe-to-toe deep into the game but the Braves pull out a win in the later innings.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves' alternate line of -1.5 (+195) is enticing, but it's too risky with Nola on the opposing mound. Stick with the main line of BRAVES +1.5 (-182) in what's sure to be a low-scoring pitchers' duel.

Over/Under (O/U)

Trust in the starters to pitch the majority of the game for both sides and take the UNDER 8 (-100). There's always the chance of these two bullpens falling apart, as the Phillies did Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays, but they shouldn't have the opportunity to do so Friday when coming in behind these starters.

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