Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and best bets

Geoff Clark | USA Today Sportsbookwire

The Philadelphia Phillies (11-14) play the Washington Nationals (11-16) in the second game of a three-game set Wednesday. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. We analyze the Phillies-Nationals betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.

Philadelphia won Game 1 of the series 8-3 Tuesday.

Phillies at Nationals: Projected starting pitchers

RHPAaron Nolavs. LHPPatrick Corbin

Nola in 2020: 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA, 0.897 WHIP and 12.4 K/9 in 29 IP over 5 starts.

Nola's last start: Loss in 2 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 K, 3 BB at the Atlanta Braves Aug. 21.
Nola's career vs. Nationals: 4-6 with a 4.22 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 in 108 2/3 IP over 19 starts.

Corbin in 2020: 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA, 1.261 WHIP and 9.5 K/9 in 29 1/3 IP over 5 starts.

Corbin's last start: Loss in 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 9 K, 3 BB against the Miami Marlins Aug. 21.
Corbin career vs. Phillies: 5-2 with a 3.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 in 56 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Phillies at Nationals: Key injuries

Get the latest injury news here.

Phillies

DHJay Bruce(quadriceps) out
RPJose Alvarez(groin) out

Nationals

2BStarlin Castro(wrist) out
RP Sean Doolittle (knee) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Phillies at Nationals: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access Paste BN Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Nationals 7, Phillies 2

Moneyline (ML)

Washington (+100) is in the midst of a disappointing title defense, mostly marred by injury, but don't let that get in the way of youBETTING NATIONALS (+100). The Nationals are currently 4.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves for first in the NL East.

The Phillies (-110) broke a 9-game losing skid in Nationals Park with their victory Tuesday and are third in the NL East.

The Nats have gotten the better of Nola throughout his career, especially over their last five meetings, as he is 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA in those games. Philadelphia has the worst bullpen ERA (7.71 ERA) in the majors by 2.12 points.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Even Washington's mediocre offense (4.78 runs scored per game) should be able to do damage to Nola, the bullpen or both. Corbin has looked great against the Phillies recently. He is 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA over his last five starts versus Philadelphia.

I am TAKING NATIONALS -1.5 (+190) on the alternate run line because the head-to-head trends and starting pitching matchup sets up nicely for Washington.

New to sports betting? A $100 bet on the Nationals -1.5 (+190) on the alternate run line pays a $190 profit if Washington beats Philadelphia by two or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

I got the Phillies-Nationals going slightly OVER 8.5 (-110). It's only a lean because Corbin tends to pitch well versus Philadelphia and the Under is 5-1-3 in the last 9 meetings.

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