Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Sportsbook Wire

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Magic at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 114, Magic 107

Money line

PASS.

Either way you look at this, this money line play has little value. Orlando is 10-28 on the road this season while Cleveland is 23-14 at home. That said, the -550 price tag for the favorite is unplayable, as is +400 for the Magic.

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Against the spread

LEAN to MAGIC +9.5 (-107).

The Cavaliers without Allen just aren't the elite, Eastern Conference contenders many thought they could be. Cleveland is just 3-7-1 ATS over its last 10.

The Cavs are 6-12 straight up in games that Allen doesn't play in. He's a crucial part of this team's defensive identity.

As for Orlando, it is 20-16 ATS as a road underdog. Cleveland ranks 29th in turnover rate and 19th in defensive rebounding rate. The absence of Allen hurts them further in both areas.

I expect the Cavs to continue struggling against a Magic team that is 5-5 ATS over their last 10.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 213.5 (-115).

If there's something both teams have been good at recently, it's hitting over the projected total. The fact that Allen is out should also bode well for more points as he's among the best defensive centers in the NBA.

The Magic are 38-36-1 O/U this season and 5-2 O/U over their last 10. As for Cleveland, it has gone over the projected total in 6 of its last 7. It is 8-2 O/U in its last 10.

The Cavs defense now ranks 3rd in opponents' points per game, allowing 105. The Magic allows around 112.

With Allen out, the Magic should be able to score in the paint easier, especially considering Cleveland is already a poor rebounding team. The OVER 213.5 (-115) is the best bet in this game.

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