Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins odds, picks and predictions
The Toronto Maple Leafs (6-4-0) battle the Boston Bruins (7-2-0) Thursday at TD Garden. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+/hulu). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Maple Leafs are a difficult team to figure. Just when it looks like they have it figured out, they take a bad loss. Just when you're ready to write them off, they come up with a big win as an underdog.
One thing that is consistent about Toronto is the Under, cashing at a 6-0-1 clip across the past 7 games. The Leafs have cashed the Under at a 4-0-1 clip in 5 road games to date, as well.
The Bruins exacted a little revenge against the Florida Panthers on Monday, winning 3-2 in OT. The Cats were the team to stun the B's in the 1st round of the playoffs after an NHL record 65 wins and 135 points last season. Boston is 8-0-1 through 9 games, with just an OT setback to the Anaheim Ducks on Oct. 26 as the lone blemish to date.
The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Boston, and 7-2 in 9 games so far. The total has gone low in 4 out of 5 games at TD Garden, too.
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Maple Leafs at Bruins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Bruins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-260) | Bruins -1.5 (+210)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -138 | U: +112)
Maple Leafs at Bruins projected goalies
Ilya Samsonov (2-1-1, 3.99 GAA, .841 SV%) vs. Linus Ullmark (4-0-1, 1.77 GAA, .939 SV%)
Samsonov was on the short end of a 3-2 OT loss in Nashville last time out on Saturday. Joseph Woll started ahead of him Tuesday against the Los Angeles Kings, but the latter suffered a 4-1 loss. Samsonov has not won on the road this season, although he has been slightly more effective than at home. He is 0-1-1 with a 3.60 GAA and .843 SV% in 3 starts.
Samsonov faced the B's 3 times in 2022-23, going 1-1-1 with a 2.96 GAA and .895 SV%.
Ullmark bounced back from the OT loss to the Ducks, posting 35 saves in the 3-2 OT win over the Panthers on Monday. The 30-year-old has allowed 2 or fewer goals in 4 of his 5 starts to date.
The Swedish backstop was 2-1-0 with a 2.35 GAA and .917 SV% in 3 starts against the Maple Leafs in 2022-23.
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Maple Leafs at Bruins picks and predictions
Prediction
Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 2
Moneyline
The BRUINS (-115) have been dominant over the years against the Maple Leafs (-104), and it's hard to believe that Boston is favored by just this little bit. Take advantage, and go rather aggressively on this wager.
Boston has won 4 of the past 5 meetings at TD Garden, while the favorite has cashed in each of the past 5 in the series.
While Toronto is 10-3 in the past 13 skates on the road dating back to last season, Boston is a ridiculous 46-11 in the past 57 games on home ice.
Puck line/Against the spread
The BRUINS -1.5 (+210) are a solid play on the puck line for the opportunity to potentially double up.
The B's have covered on the puck line just once in the past 3 games as a favorite, but Boston has cashed in 6 of 9 games on the puck line this season, all as a favorite. If you like Boston to win, you should like it to cover, too.
Be careful, though, as 3 of the past 4 meetings have been decided by just a single goal, although Boston has won 3 of those outings.
Over/Under
OVER 5.5 (-138) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Under is an amazing 13-2-1 in the past 16 games overall for the Leafs, and 12-3-1 in the past 16 on the road.
The Under is also 4-1 in the past 5 overall, and 4-1 in the past 5 at home for the Bruins, too. However, the Over is 8-3-1 in the past 12 meetings. When these teams get together, a lot of goals are sure to follow.
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