Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres odds, picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Flyers (4-5-1) and Buffalo Sabres (5-5-0) tangle in a Friday night contest. Start time at the KeyBank Center is slated for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Flyers vs. Sabres odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Friday's game marks the back half of a home-and-home for these 2 clubs. On Wednesday in Philly, the Flyers and Sabres were knotted 2-2 heading into the 3rd period. Philadelphia coughed up 3 goals in that frame and was defeated 5-2 to suffer its 3rd straight loss.

Buffalo has scored 4.25 goals per game in going 3-1 over its last 4 games. Dating back to last season, the Sabres have beaten the Flyers in 3 straight games. In the last 5 series meetings at home, Buffalo has gone 4-1-0.

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Flyers at Sabres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Flyers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Sabres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-160) | Sabres -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: 105)

Flyers at Sabres projected goalies

Samuel Ersson (0-2-1, 4.91 GAA, .763 SV%) or Carter Hart (4-3-1, 2.52 GAA, .913 SV%) vs. Devon Levi (1-3-0, 3.26 GAA, .892 SV%)

Ersson is a 2nd-year NHL'er appearing in just his 16th career game. On Wednesday, he came on in relief of G Carter Hart, who left the game with an injury. Ersson allowed 2 goals on 9 shots in 49 minutes of action.

Levi is likely to return from injury for this turn against the Flyers. He has been out since Oct. 19 with a lower-body injury.

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Flyers at Sabres picks and predictions

Prediction

Flyers 4, Sabres 3

Moneyline

Buffalo is 1-3-0 on 1-day rest. Look for a bounce-back effort from a Philly group perhaps likely to be glad to be on the road after some missteps at home.

Puck-possession and shot-type analytics indicate that the Flyers have played better hockey of late than a 1-4-1 mark since Oct. 21 would indicate. Philadelphia is marginally outperforming teams in creating and preventing quality looks.

Buffalo shooting 11.2% looks to be a tad too far out over its skis offensively. The Sabres have yielded more-than 35 shots in 3 of their last 4 games, and their 13.3 penalty minutes per game put a rolling PK unit too often in jeopardy.

BACK THE FLYERS (+145).

Puck line/Against the spread

FanDuel Sportsbook offers PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-154) action on the Puck Line. Some bettors may want to hedge by going in for a half-unit on that and a half-unit on the Moneyline play above,

Over/Under

PASS. Something in the 4-3 or 5-2 realm seems likely.

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