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FC Dallas vs. Seattle Sounders odds, picks and predictions


FC Dallas welcomes the Seattle Sounders to Toyota Stadium for the 2nd of a best-of-3 first-round series. Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the FC Dallas vs. Seattle Sounders odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.

FC Dallas lost in the first Round 1 match to Seattle on the road. It lost 2-0 yet had 1.5 expected goals, 0.8 fewer than the Sounders. FC Dallas was 7-7-3 at home this season compared to 4-6-7 on the road, so it could easily bounce back Saturday. Dallas is led by USMNT F Jesus Ferreira, who has 12 goals in 27 matches.

The Sounders have a 7-5-5 road record through 17 league matches. They have a +9 goal differential this season due to a rock-solid defense allowing just 32 goals in 34 matches. Through 3 games this season, Seattle is 1-2-0 against Dallas. It is led in scoring by F Jordan Morris, who has scored 11 goals in 26 matches.

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FC Dallas vs. Seattle Sounders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: FC Dallas +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Seattle Sounders +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Draw +210
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +100 | U: -145)

FC Dallas vs. Seattle Sounders picks and predictions

Prediction

FC Dallas 1, Seattle Sounders 1

Moneyline (ML)

SPRINKLE DRAW (+210).

FC Dallas, simply put, hasn't been dominant at home over the last several weeks. Dallas has drawn 5 straight home matches with its last 4 games finishing 1-1. Both regular season matches between these two sides finished 1-1 as well.

Given there was only a difference of 2 shots on goal in the first playoff match and one of Seattle's goals was a penalty kick, that match was closer than the 2-0 scoreline suggests.

Considering Dallas' form at home, back DRAW (+210).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-145).

Dallas at home has had 1.5 or fewer expected goals in 4 straight games, 3 of those allowing 1.0 or fewer expected goals to its opponent. It has topped 1 goal in just 1 of its last 7 home matches.

The Sounders have the best defense in the Western Conference and allowed just 4 shots on goal to Dallas in the first match. They have clean sheets in 3 straight games and have allowed more than 1 goal in just 1 of their last 10 games.

Expect a defense-heavy game and take UNDER 2.5 (-145).

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