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UCLA at Arizona odds, picks and predictions


The UCLA Bruins (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12) and Arizona Wildcats (5-3, 3-2) tangle in a Saturday night Pac-12 battle in Tucson. Kickoff at Arizona Stadium is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the UCLA vs. Arizona odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bruins are No. 20 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports. They defeated Colorado 28-16 last week, but came up short in covering as 14-point road favorites. A strong defense bailed out the Bruins against the Buffaloes. The Bruins were a minus-4 in turnovers, but they held the Buffaloes to a 4-of-15 mark on 3rd downs and allowed just 25 rushing yards in the game.

The Wildcats, who downed the Bruins 34-28 last season (Nov. 12), upset the then No. 12 Oregon State Beavers in Tucson last Saturday. The Wildcats, who were 3-point underdogs, defeated the Beavers 27-24 in what marked UA's 5th 1-score game this season.

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UCLA at Arizona odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 3:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: UCLA -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Arizona +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCLA -2.5 (-115) | Arizona +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

UCLA at Arizona picks and predictions

Prediction

UCLA 27, Arizona 21

Moneyline

Peg the true odds as being lost in the middle here. PASS.

Against the spread

The better offense here belongs to a UCLA team averaging 467.4 yards per game, which ranks 13th in the country according to Covers.com. But where the Bruins excel -- the ground game (216.0 YPG) -- is pitted against a strength of the Arizona defense.

UCLA also has the better defense, but a bit of weakness can be found against the pass, and the Wildcats (286.0 YPG passing) cut the right way there as well.

Peg the net effect as being a field-goal edge for the visitors. And the public has that surrounded. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-2 in UCLA's games and 7-1 in Arizona's. Plus, the Under has cashed in 4 consecutive meetings in this series.

The Wildcats have excellent success-rate numbers, but the Bruins do well to force foes into 2nd-and-long. The Bruins are just so-so in producing 6-pointers once they cross midfield. They are well above-average in defending the same.

Figure explosive plays to be under control at both ends and peg the score to be in check as well.

TAKE UNDER 50.5 (-115).

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