Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions

Johnny Parlay | Staff Writer

The Chicago Bears (2-6) visit the New Orleans Saints (4-4) Sunday in Week 9 at the Caesars Superdome with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Bears vs. Saints odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bears are hard to figure out. They win at Washington 40-20 in Week 5; they lose at home to Minnesota 19-13 in Week 6 -- though QB Justin Fields exited with a thumb injury early in the 3rd quarter. They beat the visiting Las Vegas Raiders 30-12 in Week 7; they stink it up in a 30-13 loss at the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 8.

It doesn't help that the injury kept Fields on the sideline the last 2 games, leaving the starts to undrafted rookie QB Tyson Bagent. Fields is listed as doubtful for Sunday.

New Orleans, 2-2 in its last 4 games, is coming off a 38-27 victory as a 2-point road favorite at the Indianapolis Colts. The win snapped a 2-game skid and moved the Saints into a tie atop the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons.

QB Derek Carr had his best game since joining the Saints in the offseason, throwing for 310 yards and 2 TDs -- no picks -- vs. the Colts, while RBs Taysom Hill and Alvin Kamara scored 2 TDs apiece.

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Bears at Saints odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bears +315 (bet $100 to win $315) | Saints -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bears +8.5 (-110) | Saints -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bears at Saints key injuries

Bears

DB Jaquan Brisker (concussion) out
OL Nate Davis (ankle) out
LB Tremaine Edmunds (knee) out
QB Justin Fields (thumb) doubtful
OL Braxton Jones (neck) questionable
DB Terell Smith (illness) out

Saints

None

Bears at Saints picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 27, Bears 10

Moneyline

The Saints (-400) will win, but I can't -- and won't -- suggest backing a favorite with so much juice. PASS.

Against the spread

NEW ORLEANS -8.5 (-110) is my STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

While both teams are 2-5-1 ATS, Chicago is just bad and New Orleans, all of a sudden, finds itself tied for 1st place in the NFC South.

While the Bears are decent against the run, holding opponents to 78.8 rushing YPG (ranking 3rd in the NFL), their secondary is suspect.

Look for Carr to take advantage. The Saints average 243.1 passing YPG to rank 10th; the Bears yield 262.2 passing YPG, to rank 30th out of 32 teams.

On the other side of the ball, the Saints are one of the top defensive teams in the league. They rank 5th in YPG allowed, yielding 296.4, and 4th in yards per play at 5.0.

Plus, if you're into trends, the Saints own a 7-game win streak vs. the Bears, going 6-1 ATS, dating back to 2011.

Over/Under

UNDER 41 (-110) is the way to go.

Bettors have been cashing in on New Orleans Unders.

Before the current back-to-back Overs by the Saints, they played 12 consecutive Unders -- 6 to open this season and 6 to close last season. The Under is 15-3 in their last 18 games.

They're allowing 19.2 points per game this season, which ranks 9th.

The fear is the Bears secondary. Chicago is 6-2 O/U on the season and is allowing 27.2 PPG (28th).

Chicago will struggle to score Sunday. Let's just hope New Orleans doesn't score too much.

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