New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union odds, picks and predictions
The New England Revolution welcome the Philadelphia Union to Gillette Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
The Revolution lost to the Union on the road 3-1 in the 1st match of the best-of-3 series. New England had 14 shots and 6 on frame which compared well to Philadelphia's 18 and 4. The Revolution ended the match with 55% of the possession as well.
The Revs were 12-4-1 at home this season. In 34 regular season matches they scored 58 goals and allowed 46. They were led in scoring by F Carles Gil, who notched 11 in 32 matches.
The Union were 5-4-8 on the road this season and lost 2-1 to the Revs on the road in their last regular season match of the season. Philadelphia scored 57 goals and allowed 41 in 34 matches. F Julian Carranza and M Daniel Gazdag both ended with a team-high 14 goals.
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New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:22 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: New England Revolution +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Philadelphia Union +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Draw +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +135 | U: -190)
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union picks and predictions
Prediction
New England Revolution 3, Philadelphia Union 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (+125).
The Revs have been terrific at home this season, winning 12 of 17 games. They beat the Union at home in their last game of the season and had 1.0 more expected goals in that 2-1 win. New England has won 8 of its last 10 games at home. With their backs up against the wall, the Revs have experienced MLS stars in Gil and F Gustavo Bou as well.
That said, the Union have given up 8 goals in their last 4 road matches and have allowed 1.8 or more expected goals in all 4. They have 8 regular season road losses and haven't been great away from home.
At this value, back NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION (+125).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 3.5 (+135).
The Union was 3-1 in the 1st match of the best-of-3 series, and the Revs have an attack that can get revenge. Philadelphia has scored in 7 straight road matches but has given up multiple goals in 3 of its last 4. It has gone Over this total in 3 of its last 5 games.
Philadelphia's defense took a step back this season and allowed 1.21 goals per game while scoring 1.68. It has a composed, lethal offense and should be able to score as it consistently has on the road. The Revs have high-skill attacking players and have scored multiple goals in 5 of their last 7 games. They have given up 3 in 3 of their last 4.
Ultimately, both teams have strong attacks and weak defenses. In turn, back OVER 3.5 (+125).
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