Alabama at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions
The Kentucky Wildcats (6-3, 3-3 SEC) welcome the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1, 6-0) to Kroger Field Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Alabama vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Wildcats broke a 3-game losing streak and beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs 24-3 Saturday, covering as a 5-point road favorite. Kentucky is 5-4 against the spread (ATS) this season and 3-3 ATS in 6 conference games. They are led by RB Ray Davis, who has 903 rushing yards in 9 games.
Alabama beat No. 19 LSU Tigers 42-28 at home in Week 10, covering as a 3-point favorite. The Crimson Tide are 6-3 ATS and have won 7 games in a row. Their lone loss was a 34-24 defeat against the No. 7 Texas Longhorns.
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Alabama at Kentucky odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Alabama -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Kentucky +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -10.5 (-115) | Kentucky +10.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Alabama at Kentucky picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 34, Kentucky 20
Moneyline
PASS.
The Crimson Tide are a step above the Wildcats. With Kentucky losing 33-27 to the Tennessee Volunteers at home and 38-21 to the Missouri Tigers at home in previous weeks, backing it as an underdog isn't great value, despite the +340 odds.
Ultimately, skip the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET CRIMSON TIDE -10.5 (-115).
The Crimson Tide have been rolling through the SEC, while the Wildcats have done the opposite. Alabama has covered 5 of its last 7, all against SEC opponents while Kentucky is 1-3 ATS over its last 4 SEC games.
The Crimson Tide ranks 25th in the nation in opponents rushing yards per game and will shut down what the Wildcats. Considering that and the recent trends, expect a sizable Alabama victory and back CRIMSON TIDE -10.5 (-115).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 47 (-110).
Alabama is 4-0-1 O/U over its last 5 games and has scored at least 34 points in 3 of its last 5. It has also allowed 20 or more in 4 straight games, so despite a weak pass game, Kentucky should be able to find the end zone.
Alabama is 6-2-1 O/U on the season. The Wildcats are 6-3 O/U and have allowed 33 or more in 2 of their last 3 games. They have gone Over in 5 of their last 6. The trends point to the Over.
Back OVER 47 (-110).
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