Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

The Calgary Flames (4-7-1) and Toronto Maple Leafs (6-5-2) meet Friday. The opening faceoff at Scotiabank Arena is slated for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Flames vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Calgary last played on Tuesday, defeating the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Flames have won back-to-back games after having lost 6 in a row from Oct. 20-Nov. 1.

The Leafs are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Ottawa Senators Wednesday. Toronto has coughed up 4.5 goals per game in going 1-3-2 over its last 6 games.

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Flames at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Flames +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Maple Leafs -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Flames +1.5 (-175) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Flames at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Jacob Markstrom (2-6-1, 2.91 GAA, .896 SV%) vs. Joseph Woll (4-4-0, 2.79 GAA, .914 SV%)

Markstrom is just 1-5 with an .895 SV% over his last 6 games. The 33-year-old owns a mere .888 SV% in even-strength situations.

Woll started Wednesday and coughed up all 6 goals in Toronto's loss to Ottawa. He has only played in 8 home games over his young career and has thus far clocked a pedestrian .893 SV% on home ice. Woll did face Calgary last season and stopped 25 of 26 pucks, including all 19 he faced in periods 2 and 3 of a 2-1 road loss March 2.

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Flames at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Flames 3

Moneyline

The Maple Leafs are 6-2 over their last 8 games against the Flames.

Calgary's recent losing streak, still close enough in the rearview mirror, was against a relatively weak slate. The Flames have struggled between the pipes, although their offense figures to be due a bit of regression toward better days.

Perhaps some off days have done Calgary well — the Flames are playing just their 3rd game since Nov. 1. Over their last 2 seasons, the Flames are 3-5-1 in road games on 2 days' rest. This game at Toronto opens a 3-game Eastern Canada swing for Calgary. In their only other multi-game trip this season, the Flames were defeated 5-2 by the Pittsburgh Penguins in the 1st game of the voyage.

TAKE TORONTO (-155). Consider making this play on a partial-unit basis.

Puck line/Against the spread

This one feels like it could get out on the loose. There is a want to play the Maple Leafs here, but the pricing does not provide value. PASS unless you can get Toronto -1.5 at +160 or better.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-0-1 in Calgary's last 6 games playing on 2 days rest and is 3-0-1 across the Flames' last 4 games overall.

With Toronto's PK issues and this goaltending match-up, the Over is a lean. But a 25-cent line here pushes that play away. PASS unless the tag becomes agreeable.

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