Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Corey Scott | Staff Writer

The Minnesota Timberwolves (5-2) and San Antonio Spurs (3-5) meet Friday in the group stage of the NBA In-Season Tournament. Tip-off from Frost Bank Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Timberwolves vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 2-2

The Timberwolves covered the spread as 9.5-point home favorites with a 122-101 win vs. the New Orleans Pelicans as the Over (216) hit Wednesday. G Anthony Edwards had 26 points and a season-high 8 assists, and Minnesota won and covered for a 4th straight game.

The Spurs failed to cover as 9-point underdogs in a 126-105 loss at the New York Knicks on Wednesday as the Over (224) cashed. C Victor Wembanyama has struggled in back-to-back games, going a combined 7-of-26 from the field for a total of just 27 points. San Antonio is 0-3 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in its last 3.

These teams each covered twice in 4 meetings last season, and the O/U went 2-2.

Timberwolves at Spurs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Spurs +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -6.5 (-110) | Spurs +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Spurs key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Spurs

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 112, Spurs 109

Moneyline

The Timberwolves (-250) should win their 5th straight, but the price on their moneyline is too expensive.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.

Against the spread

The Spurs opened the season as 4.5-point home underdogs to the Dallas Mavericks Oct. 25, and now San Antonio is a 6.5-point home underdog to the Timberwolves. As the season has progressed, San Antonio is what we thought it would be — a bad team that is capable of upsets when Wembanyama has special games. Do we really believe the Timberwolves are 2 points better than the Mavericks at this point in the season?

This line is an overreaction to the Timberwolves' great play over their last 4 games and the Spurs looking miserable in their last 3.

Don't let recency bias trick you into laying a bad number. BET SPURS +6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Timberwolves are 1st in defensive efficiency this season and should come back down to Earth on offense after scoring 122 points last time out. The Spurs have allowed 133.7 points per game over their 3-game skid, but I expect coach Gregg Popovich to make sure his team tightens up defensively after 3 straight embarrassing losses.

BET UNDER 225.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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