Toledo at Bowling Green odds, picks and predictions
The Toledo Rockets (9-1, 6-0 MAC) and Bowling Green Falcons (6-4, 4-2) meet Tuesday at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Toledo vs. Bowling Green odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Rockets have already punched their ticket to the MAC Championship Game on Dec. 2, but don't think for a minute Toledo will take its foot off the gas in this rivalry game.
This is the 88th installment of the Battle of I-75, and the institutions are separated by 25 miles of highway pavement. Toledo leads the all-time series 42-41-4, although Bowling Green scored the 42-35 upset win in the Glass Bowl in Toledo last season. The teams have split this series 2-2 in the past 4 meetings. The Rockets won 49-17 in Bowling Green in the most recent meeting there on Nov. 10, 2021.
Bowling Green also holds a slight 3-2 against the spread (ATS) advantage in the past 5 meetings, with the Over going 2-0 in the past 2, and 5-2 in the past 7 installments.
Overall this season, Toledo has won 9 in a row since opening with a 30-28 loss at Illinois. The Rockets have covered the past 3 games, with the Under going 3-1 in the previous 4 outings.
For Bowling Green, like Toledo, it is now bowl eligible after a 49-19 rout at Kent State last week. The Falcons have won 4 straight games, while going 3-1 ATS. The Over is 3-0 in the past 3 outings, as BGSU is averaging 38.0 PPG, while allowing 18.0 PPG during the span.
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Toledo at Bowling Green odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:04 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Toledo -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Bowling Green +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Against the spread (ATS): Toledo -10 (-110) | Bowling Green +10 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Toledo at Bowling Green picks and predictions
Prediction
Toledo 29, Bowling Green 25
Moneyline
Toledo (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that's way too much in a rivalry game, especially in a rivalry game on the road, against a Bowling Green (+300) side which is playing pretty well.
In fact, if anything, it's tempting to back the Falcons for a chance to triple up, especially since they're still playing for an East Division title, and a chance to potentially meet Toledo again in a few weeks in Detroit for all the marbles.
AVOID.
Against the spread
BOWLING GREEN +10 (-110) is the slam-dunk play at home catching double digits.
Yes, the Falcons were pounded in the most recent home meeting against the Rockets, but that was a bad Bowling Green team. This is a solid squad playing with a lot of confidence right now. The Falcons offense has been soaring lately.
Toledo -10 (-110) has cashed the past 2 games as a double-digit favorite, but it is just 2-4 ATS in the previous 6 such situations, and the Rockets have failed to cover on the road as a favorite of 10 or more points in both instances this season.
Over/Under
OVER 51.5 (-110) is the lean, as both teams have been playing good offense lately. The Over has cashed in the past 2 installments, too, and the winning side has scored 38 or more points in 7 of the past 8 in the series.
Toledo has scored 31 or more points in each of its past 2 games, including a 49-23 win over Eastern Michigan last week. The Rockets have produced 31 or more points in 5 of the past 7 outings, too.
For Bowling Green, it's been good for 24 or more points in each of the past 4 outings, all inside the conference, cashing the Over in the past 3 contests.
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