Buffalo at Miami (Ohio) odds, picks and predictions
The Buffalo Bulls (3-7, 3-3 MAC) visit the Miami Redhawks (8-2, 5-1) in Wednesday night Mid-American Conference action in Oxford, Ohio. Kickoff at Yager Stadium is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Buffalo vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Buffalo lost 20-10 at home against the Ohio Bobcats in Week 10 as a 9-point underdog. A Buffalo team ranking 7th in the MAC in total offense (321.1 yards per game) had 295 total yards against OU. The Bulls have not tallied more than 375 yards in any game this season.
Miami earned its 2nd shutout of the season last Wednesday when the Redhawks beat Akron 19-0. Miami covered a -17 in that contest and is 8-1 straight up and 8-1 ATS since Sept. 9.
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Buffalo at Miami (Ohio) odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:26 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Buffalo +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Miami -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buffalo +8.5 (-105) | Miami -8.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Buffalo at Miami (Ohio) picks and predictions
Prediction
Miami 27, Buffalo 10
Moneyline
Peg the true odds as being drowned out by the extra juice here. PASS.
Against the spread
These MAC East foes have been trading ATS results since 2017, and the home team keeps prevailing. Miami is 5-1 ATS across its last 5 home games against the Bulls.
Buffalo has a shaky offense, but its defense is perhaps better than what shows in the squad's 28.2 points-per-game-allowed figure. Miami typically prevails, not by being all-that-efficient or explosive, but by getting value drives across the midfield stripe and winning the field-position and special-teams battles. Combine that with the Redhawks being a faster starting team on both sides of the ball, and a 2nd-quarter lead for the home side figures as part of the projected game flow for this one.
Miami does well to create havoc on defense while avoiding such on offense. Buffalo ranks 2nd in the MAC in interceptions, but Miami has thrown just 5 this season. The Redhawks ground game will be up against a Bulls defense that has allowed 5.0 yards per carry (119th FBS), so Miami figures to have a diversity-of-offense edge.
Coach Chuck Martin's Miami teams are 5-2 over their last 7 home November games when lined as a favorite. The way Miami defends in the red zone may well help the Redhawks push this one into 14-20-point territory with even average offensive output.
BACK MIAMI -8.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Under is a lean here. Defense is what these teams do best, and Miami figures to have the run game to ice things late. But Buffalo can crank out a lot of plays with a quicker tempo.
The UNDER 39.5 (-110) is worth a partial-unit play.
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