USF at UTSA odds, picks and predictions
The South Florida Bulls (5-5, 3-3 American) meet the UTSA Roadrunners (7-3, 6-0) Friday. Kickoff from the Alamodome is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the USF vs. UTSA odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
USF came away with a 27-23 win over the Temple Owls Saturday, failing to cover as a 7-point favorite. The Bulls were solid on both sides of the ball in the victory, gaining 451 offensive yards while also forcing 4 turnovers, including a 22-yard pick-6.
UTSA extended its win streak to 6 games with a 34-14 victory over the Rice Owls Saturday, covering as a 13.5-point favorite. The Roadrunners have not scored under 34 points during their win streak, averaging 39.6 points per game. All 6 of the Roadrunners' wins during this streak have come vs. conference opponents.
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USF at UTSA odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): USF +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | UTSA -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): USF +16.5 (-115) | UTSA -16.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 67.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
USF at UTSA picks and predictions
Prediction
UTSA 35, USF 24
Moneyline
PASS.
The Roadrunners (-800) should be able to pick up the win here, but a -800 favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET USF +16.5 (-115).
USF has a very high-powered offense that can attack in both the passing and running games, and that offense will be what keeps the Bulls in this game. UTSA is much better on the defensive end, but its offense is more questionable than that of USF. Expect these teams — which both average over 4 yards per carry — to establish the run game but not let the other squad's defense get too comfortable, as both teams also average over 7 yards per throwing attempt.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 67.5 (-115).
UTSA's defense will be able to keep this game from reaching the Over. USF allows opponents to score 35.6 points per game, and I expect that trend to continue here, but UTSA's defense — which allows only 24.6 PPG — should have some success shutting down this USF offense.
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