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Florida at Missouri odds, picks and predictions


The Florida Gators (5-5, 3-4 SEC) will go up against the No. 11 Missouri Tigers (8-2, 4-2) in Week 12 on Saturday at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Florida vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Gators lost 52-35 to No. 15 LSU in Week 11, falling short of covering as 15.5-point road underdogs, and the Over (68) easily cleared. Florida is on a 3-game losing streak and all 3 losses came against SEC opponents.

The Tigers easily covered as 2.5-point home favorites and the Under (58.5) connected in their 36-7 win over No. 19 Tennessee in Week 11. Missouri has won 3 of its last 4 games, with the lone loss in that span coming against No. 1 Georgia. Following last week's victory, the Tigers are the No. 11 ranked team in the US LBM Coaches Poll.

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Florida at Missouri odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Florida +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Missouri -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida +11.5 (-110) | Missouri -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Florida at Missouri picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 34, Florida 21

Moneyline

Even with Missouri (-450) favored at home, I'll PASS on its moneyline in Saturday's bout. Backing a team at -450 odds isn't worth the risk as the profit is minimal if they win.

Against the spread

MISSOURI -11.5 (-110) is the best play in this game as the Tigers are focused on trying to secure the best bowl-game bid it can at the end of the season. The Tigers are 7-3 ATS, while the Gators are 3-7 ATS this season.

Over/Under

UNDER 57.5 (-110) is the lean in this contest as Missouri has a solid defense that is allowing teams to score only 22.3 points per game. While the Gators are 6-0 to the Over in their last 6 games, the Tigers are 3-0 to the Under in their last 3.

Missouri will secure an early double-digit lead and then lean on RB Cody Schrader to bleed the clock the rest of the game.

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