Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Drew Phelps | Staff Writer

The Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) face the Miami Dolphins (6-3) Sunday in Week 11 NFL action. Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Raiders vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Raiders won their 2nd straight game after firing Josh McDaniels, 16-12 over the New York Jets. They covered the 1-point spread as the Under 36 hit. RB Josh Jacobs put the offense on his back for 116 yards on 27 carries. Las Vegas has held their last 2 opponents to 18 total points.

Miami returns to action this week after their bye. They lost in Germany to the Kansas City Chiefs 21-14 in their last game, failing to cover the 1-point spread while the Under 51.5 cashed. QB Tua Tagovailoa was held to under 200 yards passing (193) for the 1st time this season. The Dolphins lead the NFL in points per game (31.7) and yards per game (435.3).

This will be the 1st meeting since 2021 when the Raiders won 31-28 in overtime, but failed to cover the 4-point spread as Over 45.5 hit.

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Raiders at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:35 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Raiders +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Dolphins -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raiders +13.5 (-110) | Dolphins -13.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Raiders at Dolphins key injuries

Raiders

T Kolton Miller (shoulder) questionable
G Dylan Parham (calf) questionable
S Roderic Teamer (hamstring) questionable

Dolphins

WR Chase Claypool (knee) out
OL Rob Jones (knee) out
OL Rob Hunt (hamstring) out
RB De'Von Achane (knee) questionable
RB Alec Ingold (foot) questionable
WR Braxton Berrios (hamstring) questionable
TE Durham Smythe (ankle) questionable

Raiders at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 41, Raiders 17

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Dolphins are going to win this game going away, but I'm not going to put a bet down on a line like -900. Stay away from this and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

BET DOLPHINS -13.5 (-110).

The Raiders have played better under interim coach Antonio Pierce, but the Dolphins are going to give Las Vegas a reality check in Week 11. Miami is demolishing opponents at home this season averaging 43.5 points per game. Their average margain of victory at Hard Rock Stadium is 25 points. This will be a statement game from Miami.

Over/Under

PASS.

Typically, I love to bet the Under in Raiders games since they've been Under in 7 of their last 8 games, but not against the Dolphins. Miami scores in bunches although they have been very hit or miss with the totals over the last 6 weeks. I am going to just stay away from this bet and focus on the spread.

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