Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild odds, picks and predictions
The Toronto Maple Leafs (9-5-2) meet the Minnesota Wild (5-8-3) on Sunday at Avicii Arena in Stockholm, Sweden. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 a.m. ET (NHL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Wild odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Maple Leafs picked up a 3-2 win on Friday against the Detroit Red Wings in the 1st game in Stockholm as the Under (6.5) cashed. That snapped a 5-0 run to the Over for Toronto. The Leafs have scored 3 or more goals in 6 consecutive outings.
The Wild were on the short end of a 2-1 loss in a shootout on Saturday morning, and Minnesota is now 0-3-1 across the past 4 games. The Under is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games for the Wild.
These teams met in St. Paul on Oct. 14, with the Maple Leafs coming away with a 7-4 victory as a moderate favorite (-160) while taking care of the Over (6.5) on their own.
Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+, with your team's out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+ now!
Maple Leafs vs. Wild odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Wild +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs -1.5 (+150) | Wild +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Maple Leafs vs. Wild projected goalies
Ilya Samsonov (4-1-2, 3.56 GAA, .878 SV%) vs. Marc-Andre Fleury (3-4-1, 3.41 GAA, .879 SV%)
Samsonov turned aside 27 of the 29 shots he faced in Friday's 3-2 win against the Red Wings, winning for the 2nd straight outing. He is 2-0-1 with a 3.00 GAA and .912 SV% in 4 starts in the month of November. Samsonov was in between the pipes for the Oct. 14 win in Minnesota, stopping 28 of the 32 shots he faced.
Fleury was bombed for 8 goals on 37 shots last time out against the Dallas Stars last Sunday. He has managed a 2-2-0 record, 3.58 GAA and .869 SV% in 4 starts in the month of November.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Maple Leafs vs. Wild picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 5, Wild 2
Moneyline
The MAPLE LEAFS (-155) are a strong play as Toronto looks to leave Sweden a perfect 2-for-2.
The Leafs have won 3 in a row, and they're an impressive 21-10 in the past 31 tries against Western Conference teams, including 13-6 in the past 19 against Central Division foes.
On the flip side, the Wild (+125) have managed just 2 wins in the past 9 tries, while going 2-7 in the previous 9 against Eastern Conference teams, 3-14 in the past 17 against winning teams and a dismal 2-8 in the past 10 when playing on no rest.
Puck line/Against the spread
The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+150) are certainly worth a roll of the dice on the puck line. While Toronto is just 1-7 in the past 8 on the puck line as a favorite, winning just 4 of those games outright, it's a very favorable matchup against a Wild +1.5 (-185) team which is bottoming out, and against a goalie who was just tuned up last time out.
Over/Under
OVER 6.5 (-120) is the lean.
Toronto hit the Over on its own in the 1st meeting in the Twin Cities. The Leafs have also cashed the Over in 5 of the past 6 games overall, although the Under hit in the first Global Series game Friday against the Red Wings. Still, Toronto is good for 3 or more goals in each of the past 6 outings, while allowing at least 3 goals in 7 of the previous 9 contests.
Minnesota saw the total go low Saturday against the Senators, and the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games overall. But the team has allowed 17 goals in the past 4 games, or 4.3 GPG. That's good news for the Leafs offense, and for Over bettors.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.