Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

Payton Shanks | Staff Writer

The Washington Commanders (4-7) face the Dallas Cowboys (7-3) on Thanksgiving. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium is set for 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Commanders vs. Cowboys odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Washington lost for the 2nd straight week when it failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite in a 31-19 defeat to the New York Giants Sunday. Washington's offense was solid as it gained 28 first downs and 403 yards, but the Commanders were rarely able to capitalize on those yards as they turned the ball over 6 times to hand New York easy points.

Dallas routed the Carolina Panthers 33-10 Sunday to secure its 2nd straight win and cover as an 11-point road favorite. Dallas' redzone struggles continued vs. Carolina as the Cowboys were only able to score touchdowns on 2 of 4 redzone trips. The Cowboys have their defense, which allowed only 187 total yards of offense and forced 2 turnovers, to thank for the win.

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Commanders at Cowboys odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Commanders +425 (bet $100 to win $425) | Cowboys -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Commanders +11 (-110) | Cowboys -11 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Commanders at Cowboys key injuries

Commanders

RB Alex Armah (hamstring) questionable
G Sam Cosmi (chest) questionable
CB Emmanuel Forbes (elbow) questionable
RB Antonio Gibson (toe) questionable
DE James Smith-Williams (hamstring) questionable

Cowboys

RB Rico Dowdle (ankle) questionable
TE Peyton Hendershot (ankle) questionable
S Jayron Kearse (back) questionable
WR CeeDee Lamb (ankle) questionable
OT Terence Steele (ankle) questionable

Commanders at Cowboys picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 34, Commanders 17

Moneyline

PASS.

Dallas (-600) is the much better team and will pick up the win here, but a -600 favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or the Over/Under instead.

Against the spread

BET COWBOYS -11 (-110).

Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 meetings with Washington and 7-3 ATS in its 10 games overall this season, covering as the favorite in all 7 of its wins. Washington is only 2-4-1 ATS in its 7 losses this season and 1-2-1 ATS in its 4 games vs. divisional opponents.

Dallas is the better team on both sides of the ball, and its dominant defense will ensure that the Cowboys are able to cover here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 48.5 (-110).

The Over is 3-1 in both of these teams' last 4 games overall and has hit in back-to-back outings for the Commanders.

The Over is also 2-1 in Dallas' 3 games vs. divisional opponents this season and 3-1 in Washington's last 4 in division. Dallas' defense will help its offense score points by forcing turnovers and giving the offense short fields, and that will help the Cowboys score 30 or more points and carry this game to hit the Over.

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