Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and predictions

Seth Orlemann | Staff Writer

The Green Bay Packers (4-6) visit the Detroit Lions (8-2) on Thanksgiving. Kick from Ford Field is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Packers vs. Lions odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Packers beat the Los Angeles Chargers 23-20 Sunday to cover as 3-point home underdogs. QB Jordan Love went 27 of 40 for 322 yards and 2 TDs. His top receiver was WR Dontayvion Wicks, who had 3 receptions for 91 yards. On the ground, WR Jayden Reed had 3 carries for 46 yards and a TD while Green Bay rushed for 102 yards on the day.

The Lions took down the Bears 31-26 on Sunday while failing to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. Detroit came back from a 26-14 deficit with just over 3 minutes left. QB Jared Goff threw for 236 yards with 2 TDs and 3 INTs on a 23-of-35 performance, and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown hauled in 8 receptions for 77 yards and a TD. RB David Montgomery (12 carries, 76 yards, 1 TD) and RB Jahmyr Gibbs (8, 36, 1) combined for over 100 rushing yards and 2 TDs.

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Packers at Lions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:06 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Packers +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Lions -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Packers +7.5 (-110) | Lions -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Packers at Lions key injuries

Packers

CB Jaire Alexander (shoulder) questionable
OLB De'Vondre Campbell (neck) questionable
T Kenny Clark (shoulder) questionable
TE Josiah Deguara (hip) questionable
RB AJ Dillon (groin) questionable
RB Aaron Jones (knee) doubtful
TE Luke Musgrave (abdomen) out
WR Dontayvion Wicks (head/knee) questionable
RB Emanuel Wilson (shoulder) questionable
WR Jayden Reed (chest) questionable

Lions

None

Packers at Lions picks and predictions

Prediction

Lions 24, Packers 20

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Lions (-375) needed a late-game rally to beat the Bears on Sunday, they are the better team in this matchup, and at -375 odds, there is no profit to be made betting on their moneyline.

Against the spread

BET PACKERS +7.5 (-110).

While the Packers are just 4-6 straight up this season, they have looked increasingly better as the season has gone on. With the emersion of Reed, they have found new ways to spread the ball around the offense and keep the defense on its heels.

Goff looked horrible for the Lions and even received boos from the home crowd on Sunday, and while he will surely improve on Thursday, 7.5 points is a tall task to cover. With 4 interceptions in his last 3 games, any turnovers will make it difficult for the Lions to cover on Thanksgiving.

The Packers' last 2 games and the Lions' last 2 were decided by just 1 possession.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 47 (-110).

As it stands, 47 would be the highest point total for the Packers all season. Sporting just a 4-6 Over record, the Packers have not scored more than 24 points in a game since Week 1, while their defense has not allowed more than 24 since Week 4.

Expect a run-heavy game resulting in fewer points. The Lions have a 2-2 Over record in their last 4 home games, while the Packers have a 1-2 Over record in their last 3 on the road.

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